Gibbo’s Tips2019-10-23T14:16:46+10:00

Gibbo’s Tips

Blair “Gibbo” Gibson – Qld’s favourite tipster teams up with Aquis Park. Gibbo will provide weekly reviews, sectionals and tips along with regular trial reviews for the GCTC. It pays to follow Gibbo at his home track – Aquis Park #Gibbostips”

Tips

19 October 2019

Rail goes back to the TRUE for the first time since August 3rd. Fine weather and expecting the track to play very fair for all. It looks a very even days racing and quite a hard day to nail a few best bets.

Race 2 No.2-MAKEUP

Trained on the track, nice trial before a very good debut run at Doomben. A very slow run race there and they were set up to sprint home, but sprint home she did. She ran the 2nd best last 400m and last 200m of the meeting. She should improve from the raceday experience and just needs a bit of luck or a good ride from the sticky gate. They don’t want to be landing last in this. If she is midfield before the corner they will know she’s there late. BEAUREGARD who we tipped last time and POWERING having first start for Edmonds look the main dangers but happy enough to have MAKEUP on top.

Race 6 No.1-BANTEUX

Waller runner who has been sent north to break through again. He’s shown enough down south to say he could win one or two up here. He was a pass mark at Benchmark 64 level last start, that was at the mile 2nd up. Sure to improve off that and out to 1800m is ideal 3rd run back. His only win was 3rd up last prep over 1900m. Has to lump the big weight but Colless can probably land in the third pair here and be ready to strike when the pace goes on before the corner. With the weight I’d rather be rolling before the corner and have momentum instead of missing the boat. Feel around $3.50+ would be a fair sort of price. WILLY BE LUCKY looks the main danger but has only won 1/24 so easy to lean the way of the Waller runner.

Race 7 No.2-ELIXIR

To be honest I tried to find anyway around tipping this horse and to try and find some value. He is just in so well under the plate conditions it’s hard to go past him. The little query is the apprentice from the outside gate but I’m assuming they come out positive and sit outside leader or simply push on to find the lead and try to slow them down. Back to 1300m suits, the 2kg off suits and this is a big drop in grade from what he’s been racing well against at metropolitan level. Respecting GALWAY GIRL and CABIN FEVER who are also locals and winning hopes.

12 October 2019

RAIL: 6m 1400-1000; 9.5m 1000-400; 8m 400-W/Post; 4m Remainder

*Rail stays out, last week a few loomed very wide on the track and didn’t really finish off. Think jockeys may stay near the fence this week but with rain predicted it may well be worth watching the first few races to see where the jocks go.

With rain around and scratchings likely it’s a hard meeting to find too many, but here are a few I have found.

Race 4 No.2-AMERICAN GENIUS

Don’t want to be taking anything under $2.50 if it comes to that but he’s an on speed runner who should be able to lead these or sit outside leader. I’d prefer the latter, nurse him around the corner and let him be strong through the line. Good strong win last start beating Italia Bella.

Race 5 No.6-DASHING SPECIAL

Not a good habit backing horses with this win rate, however his two wins have come in his last five starts. Forget last start in better grade, this is much easier and the runs before that can measure up. Trialed well in blinkers in a hot trial including Victorem and Fierce Impact – blinkers on today. Not going overboard here, just a slight lean to him at the weights over the topweight.

Race 7 No.2-PAY WITH CASH

Have had time for this horse since his first start. A real improving type who I feel will win better races than this. He has a beautiful action and the big positive last start was that even though he jumped slow again, he pushed forward and raced handy. He loomed to win a good Class 1 and should strip fitter. The wide gate allows Dittman time to slide forward and find a spot. If Soxagon scratches, as I predict, this horse just needs to handle the wet track if we get the rain and he’ll win.

*Be sure to check out the reviews and sectional stars from the last couple of weeks on the ‘Gibbo’s tips’ page while you’re here*

Gibbo’s Gold Coast selections 5th October 2019.

The rail has been gradually pushed out over the last half a dozen meetings. It hasn’t affected the pattern as the track raced beautifully last week and tempo was the what determined the winners.

Rail +6m 1400-1000, +9m 1000-W/P, +4m Remainder

Weather- Fine and track should be a Good 4.

*Here is a look at what I feel could be some of the better bets on the card. The only issue we have is the fact the bookies can go up very late on Gold Coast races compared to interstate markets. There might not be this many tips each week, I just particularly like the card this week and there is the extra race with the 3yr old maiden being split into two races.

(Best Bets/Plays have ** next to them)

Race 2 No.10- SNIT BALL

Handy little race, no doubt DWARF is the horse to beat and has trialled well. Costa and Heathcote both have debutantes who will win races also. Even though SNIT BALL was $61 on debut the run was very good. Got back in a slow run race which made it impossible, still ran the 5th best L200m of the meeting. Awkward gate is the issue, I could consider a little bet (1w x3p)

Race 3 No.3-READY TO PARTY * *

Have to admit I have a share in this boy. He’s always shown plenty at home but not much has gone right the last 12 months. Just seemed for one reason or another he’s been in the paddock. Feel he is a better horse than these and that he’ll be winning better races. My only little query is the 1200m fresh off the long break so needs a good ride from Dittman and to be nursed for as long as possible.

Race 4 No.7-BEAUREGARD * *

Trained locally by Heinrich this son of Brazen Beau showed good quality in a trial before making his debut on a bottomless track. He ran 4th there and although beaten a long way the run was full of merit and the form is good (Gem Of Scotland won that race). Comes here off a long break, 1100m should be suitable fresh.  Sits on the leaders backs and should be too good.

Race 5 No.4- MISS AMBER (ew if $5+ available)

She raced well last prep but kicked this prep off with a couple of shockers. Blinkers went on and she improved sharply. Dittman can come out neutral here to find a spot in the first few pairs. Expecting her to sprint as she did last start and then try to hold off the late challenge of MISS CAVALLO who looks the main danger. Depending on prices I could even back MISS AMBER straight and cover my stake with a win bet on MISS CAVALLO.

Race 6 No.1-GREGORY * *

Yet another one I’m tipping for Dittman here! He’s never been a horse I’m that keen on, however he is in career best form this prep and looks really well placed. He won a CL4 two runs back before a good run at CL6 level. The drop back to this benchmark looks ideal and he has to be the one to beat.

Gibbo will be reviewing each weeks racing with blackbookers and sectional stars from Aquis Park racing. Be sure to check in each week for you excusive content to help you find your weekend winners!

Reviews

Saturday 19/10/2019

Hopefully punters have been checking the reviews and sectionals on this page and noticed LUANA which won Race 2 on Saturday (paid $12), was mentioned in both segments a fortnight ago. The reviews are every bit as important as the tips later in the week.

We were able to get the monkey off the back with ELIXIR winning the last race on Saturday. As much as $4.40 was bet, he touched odds on before getting out to black figures late.

I am going to focus on the first and last races of the day in the review.

Race 1: Looks a decent sort of form race and a few on debut ran very well. Solid tempo for this grade throughout and it was enough to give them all a chance. ALEXANDRA ROAD was up on that speed, was still in the firing line with 100m to go and just tired late, still a good effort and I’d like to see it ridden the same way over 1000m. ENTERTAINER was behind the speed getting a nice run, yes he was a beaten fav but there was merit to the run and sure to improve from the day at the races. THE DARK won this fair and square, probably started over the odds off a decent trial and really attacked the line to win well. SHE’S CROWNED was a 5yr old mare having her first run, she was run off her legs but got to the outside and was excellent late. Should be a few winners come out of this race.

FOLLOW: THE ENTERTAINER (in similar). ALEXANDRA ROAD (back to 1000m) and THE DARK can win again this prep.

Race 7: As much as $4.40 was bet about ELIXIR but the support come for him and GALWAY GIRL. The market had it as a two-horse race before they jumped. ELIXIR was able to get the perfect run in transit and on the corner the leader rolled off to present him with the perfect run along the fence. He sprinted quickly and it was race over at the 200m mark. He was able to win by 4.5L and he might get some confidence from that and should be able to win again soon in the right race. GALWAY GIRL is going well and she was good through the line. A similar race like this on her home track would be suitable.

FOLLOW: ELIXIR

Saturday 05/10/2019

Big card of racing but a strip out for our first week of selections unfortunately. Wouldn’t say there was a leader bias by any means but it did seem a lot of horses were looming and looking the winner right down the outside but they seemed to struggle the last 100m. Early in the day a few were choosing to leave the fence alone but there was no need to be doing that and as the day went on they actually stayed to the fence.

As a whole I don’t think the meeting was as strong as the week before – not a heck of a lot we can follow with a lot of confidence but still a few good runs throughout the day.

Here are the horses to follow:

HEARTS DENIED – Had every possible chance on debut by leading as he liked. He did do a lot wrong, stewards noted he hung most of the race and every chance Heathcote will tinker with gear or maybe add a senior to ride. Feel he will take massive improvement from the experience at the track and won’t be a maiden for long.

LUANA – Got back a long way in a race dominated by those up on speed. First four around the corner were the first four home. She made good ground and will be a lot better suited in a race with speed. She can be hard to catch but has a win in her this prep if things pan out.

GIVEMEAMINUTE – Lightly raced mare who might have had a few issues throughout her career. Only 2nd run back from a long break and was very good late here. Beauregard went straight past her but this mare found and was able to steal third position back.

SCILAGO – He took a while to break maiden status but is now looking at a hat trick. Got the gun run but put them away very easily. Can win a Class 2 soon.

Saturday 28/09/2019

Some of these Class 1 races at the Gold Coast have been strong recently and one of them from Saturday is the race I want to focus on in the blackbook section this week.

The market in race 7 was dominated by three-four horses. LOVE STRUCK, PAY WITH CASH and ROYAL FACTOR were all respected but STAY SMART for Costa was the best backed runner. STAY SMART pushed on to lead and looked to be travelling sweetly on the corner. Not long after straightening LOVE STRUCK and PAY WITH CASH loomed large and in the drive to the line it was LOVE STRUCK who proved too strong. The form from this race should hold up over the next month or two and I think we can make some money following it, I’s be very surprised if there aren’t multiple winners come out of it.

HORSES TO FOLLOW from the meeting:

PAY WITH CASH Not sure why he’s accepted and scratched in a couple of races he’d have won recently but the effort here was good. Jumped well for the first time and given every opportunity off the back of a good Dittman ride. He’s got a nice action and sure to win a couple of races this prep.

STAY SMART– A few punters might have been a bit upset with him being rolled as fav but as mentioned this was a hot class 1. He’s in a good stable and likely to be better for the first run with the new stable.

LOVE STRUCK– He’d been competitive in decent metropolitan races so no surprise to see him win here. The drop in grade was the key and if they just want to go through the grades he can be winning again.

ZOULOU DANCER I’ll admit she is a frustrating horse but she does have ability and is in very good form at present. Two double figure gates have ruined her chances at both her last two runs. She got a long way back but strong through the line again.

Sectionals

Saturday 19/10/2019.

Just the seven race card but a few good runs throughout the day.

(Sectionals from puntingform.com.au)

SHE’S CROWNED – 5yr old mare on debut. She got back in an average run race and let rip the last 200m. She ran 11.66 and that was the fastest last 200m of the day, fair effort on debut.

CHARWAY – A little surprising this, she’s a very hard horse to catch but the sectionals were very good. Worth noting, they went slow to make it a bit of a sprint home. She’s run the fastest last 800m, 600m and 400m of the day as well as the 2nd best last 200m of the day. (last 400m = 22.82 and only one to break 23sec for the meeting)

ELIXIR – Sat behind leaders on an average tempo and was able to give a very good kick to run the best last 400m and 200m of the race. 3rd best last 200m of the meeting. (23.02 and 11.84).

TOO HOT TO HOLD – Doesn’t look good on paper but went back to a long last. Was used to run best splits of the race from the 800-600 and 600-400. After doing that work she still ran the 2nd best last 200m of the race behind Elixir so the run was better than it looked.

Saturday 05/10/2019

Probably not as strong of a meeting as we have witnessed at Aquis Park over the last month. I still think there were a few hoses that have run well on the sectionals. Here are a few worth noting.

*A couple of the sectional stars back up our review/blackbookers this week.

LUANA – A long way back in a walking race up front. Clearly the fastest last 600m of the race (was one of the better races of the day). She ran 33.49 for the last 600m and was only one of two horses that broke 34 in the race.

WIRNPA – Not a lot has gone right for this bloke all prep. He was just ok out and was then used up to sit outside the leader in a fast run race. Wasn’t able to hold them off but the 11.53 was still the 4th best in the race and was strong through the line. Can find the right race soon.

SCILAGO – It was only a class 1 but this horse has turned a corner. I had him pegged as one that might promise to win a race and just kept finding one better. He’s just kept improving, the maiden win was good, the trial after that was good and this win was good enough to say he can win a class 2 shortly. Sat behind the slow tempo here so he did get the favours, he still ran the best last 400 and last 200m of the race (23.74 / 11.92)

Saturday 28/09/2019

REZABELLE – Yes it was only a 900m race but it was also just a maiden and this mare improved sharply. She is in a good stable and might be able to win again soon after running the 3rd best L400m (22.32) and 3rd best L200m (11.40) of the meeting. Only two horses in this race broke 12 sec for the L200m.

FULL NELSON He has shown plenty of ability and although he is still improving, I feel there is still a bit to go. His effort here was very good. He led at 6.3L faster than the benchmark for the class to the 600m and was still the 3rd best L200m of the race (12.26). He was beaten fair and square but can be winning a similar race soon.

ZOULOU DANCER She has been plagued by bad gates her last couple and it may well have cost her the race here. She got back in a race they went 6.6L slower than the benchmark for the class and her task was impossible from back there. She ran the 2nd fastest L400m of the race and the best L200m (11.44) to say she can be winning soon.

Trials

TRIALS REVIEW- AQUIS Beaudesert 15/10/2019.

TRIAL 1: OPEN 1050m (1:02:89)

As expected KEEN ARRAY was able to win the trial. He jumped to the front and when given a little squeeze at the top of the straight held the margin to COMIC STORY in 2nd who also trialed well. KEEN ARRAY had trialed well before this and he looks ready to go to the track and be hard to beat. COMIC STORY was very good at the end of last prep, might trial again, not sure but looks to have come back well.

TRIAL 2: OPEN 1050m (1:03:59)

Bit of a speed battle up front in this heat, FANX and MISHANI HONCHO led by 4-6L midway through. TUMULTUOUS is the horse with the best record and you had to like the way he let down in the straight to win the trial. He is a 2000m+ horse when he’s up and about but was very impressive here.

TRIAL 4: TWO YR OLD 1050m (1:04:44)

Most trialed well here. They only went slow and was a bit of a sprint home. HANCORA FIELD led and wasn’t pushed out at all to run 2nd. The Edmonds trained PERNELL cruised past late but wasn’t really asked for an effort either. TESTABELLO for the Dunn camp was eased early, saved ground on the corner and a pass mark to run 3rd. Hard to get a real guide off this tempo and would like to see them step out again.

TRIAL 5: THREE YR OLD 1050m (1:05:03)

The Edmonds three ran 1,2,3 in this. SALINA was given a decent trial she ran along in front and was pushed out to win. Still liked the trial and she’s a Redoute’s Choice filly who might be able to go through the grades up here in the new stable. FALLOW and BARODA probably trialed as good as the winner and wouldn’t mind seeing them again.

TRIAL 7: THREE YR OLD 1050m (1:04:25)

A couple of nice colts here again for the Edmonds camp. GLOBAL CITIZEN made good improvement from his first trial, he led here. Stablemate TACTICAL MOVE loomed alongside and they raced each other in this trial. GLOBAL CITIZEN did everything right while TACTICAL MOVE was a little green and asked for a little more. They went over the line together and both look like horses who can win early in their career.

TRIAL 8: CL2 1050m (1:03:34)

Good CL2 trial this. WILLO TITTO has joined the Costa camp, saved ground and got through under ROTHENBURG to win. Both those horses trialed well. SIMPLY SACRED might have been the best trial here, she might be a stayer but both her recent trials have been very good and might be able to sprint well fresh. USMANOV is a promising type, he was given a very soft trial late and more than a pass mark.

TRIAL 13: CL1-CL5 900m (54.27)

Handy sort of trial this. PAPER TRADE found some good form at the end of last prep, he found the front here and liked the way he held them all off. Should be able to win more races this time in work. Best trial here was BLUE COMET, he’s a still a CL3 horse and was placed out of his grades last prep (understandable as he looks handy). If Noel Doyle wants, he can find a couple of nice races to go through the grades now.

TRIAL 14: MAIDEN 900m (53.35)

All about OH FIVE GLORY in this trial. As expected she dominated the rest of these. She’s well above average and off this trial the Hulbert team will be able to find a few suitable races, likely to stick to the sprint trips this time in work I would suspect.

BEST OF THE TRIALS:

OH FIVE GLORY

BLUE COMET

GLOBAL CITIZEN

TACTICAL MOVE

Gold Coast Trials – 30/09/19

*A massive 18 trials at Aquis Park today on a Good 4 surface. Fourteen trials over 1000m and four over the 900m. Here are some comments of the best trials and trailers from the morning.

TRIAL 2- 1000m. OPEN (59.35)

The second quickest of the 1000m trials and you’d expect so being the open race. KEEN ARRAY was able to hold the fence and slide up before the corner to lead. Really liked what we witnessed here. He did race well for the Edmonds stable at his first prep for them but he is 17 runs without a win. CELLARMAN was the other eye catcher but he is also a long time between wins and that’s the query.

TRIAL 5- 1000m. 3YR OLD (1.01.56)

A slow trial here but liked the way most of them went. Focusing on the first four over the line, KALLIE was the winner and COMPLIANCE the runner up. Both weren’t asked for a lot. KALLIE was just pushed out a little more to win the trial. Loved the run of INDIAN DREAMER who is yet to make a debut, he is a son of Sepoy and come from last to be the strongest through the line and could have won if pushed out. The other Edmonds runner BEFANA had a very easy time of it but again very good and keen to see if they trial again or go straight to the races.

TRIAL 10- CLASS 2 (1.00.54)

Another trial most of them went well. SIMPLY SACRED has had a stable change and now with the Edmonds. Showed a bit last prep, may have just trained off or it all just come a bit soon for her. She won the trial but thought the sneaky trial of the stablemate HAUTCLERE was every bit as good. He is an ex-Victorian who has only won the one race but placed on six other occasions and looks well placed with the new stable to work his way through the grades. ROCK DANCER was good through the line, CHINA PLATE led them up before having an easy time late and BULLET SHOT also a pass mark.

TRIAL 17- CLASS 1-6.  900m (54.55)

Easily the quickest of the 900m trials and very confident multiple winners will come out of this trial. BULLET SPEED was four wide the trip but still showed a good turn of foot and was then as good as anything through the line. He’s a Snitzel gelding who won his only race start last prep and will be going through the grades this prep. The Dunn stablemate ROTHENBURG ran 2nd here, he was another who ran well last prep and should be able to get to CL3 level through this prep. SHEZANDI AS joins the Bruce Hill stable from Victoria, she brings a record of (8:1:3:2) and she can build on that off this trial.

OTHERS RUNNERS OF NOTE:

TESTABELLO was in the 2yr old (Trial 15). He’s a big beautiful colt but still a bit raw so I’d say we will see him at the trials again before he hits the track. Looks to have a stack of ability and keen to see where he can get to this prep.

RIDERSHILL is a Bryan and Daniel Guy 3yr old who won Trial 16. He didn’t show great speed early, was just behind the leaders on the corner and when asked he found a couple of lengths like good horses do. He may take a run or two but he’s another I’m sure can run well throughout his first racing prep.

DIVINE ELEVEN, a Redoute’s Choice colt who had a very quiet first trial at Murwillumbah in May was able to win Trial 18. The runner up ALL STYLE also trialled well, I was just taken with DIVINE ELEVEN when he let down. A nice big action and looks to cover ground really well.