Aquis Beaudesert Thursday 14 November 2019
*Tricky sort of day and expected to be very hot. Rail in True position and I’d expect the leaders to be able to run a bit of time so might be hard to catch.
*Reluctant to bet after unbelievably short odds offered for all 3 tips, but some for you to follow if interested.
Race 1 No.2 – HONOVI
Sticky sort of gate but has early speed, expecting them to be positive and lead out of the straight the first time. Once they are there Cormack can let one slip around or try to dictate from the front. HEATHROW looks the main danger but should be spotting HONOVI a decent start. Not taking any silly odds but could bet if $2.50+ was offered.
Race 2 No.1 – SPURIOUS
Missed the start hopelessly fresh before hitting the line very well in a decent maiden. Has been beaten a head in a metropolitan Saturday race and that form is outstanding for a race like this. Feel CRAIGLEA LIZZY will cross from the wide gate, SPURIOUS should be able to box seat and the leader will be the hardest to beat. Again I’d be wanting around $3+ to bet.
Race 4 No.7-SECRET CONQUEST
Another very even sort of race, just feel this horse can use the good gate to find a spot in the first few pairs. Although well held last start I really like the race (Dwarf won, Flatter 2nd). Was good through the line and this is simply an easier race. Like the fact Chau stays on too, would be chasing $6+.
Saturday 9 November 2019.
*A good week for the trial and blackbook horses to follow last week, unfortunately one of them actually beat our tip!
Race 1 No.9 – MALEEKA MISS
Trialed well leading into the debut run. Found one better on that occasion but the effort was good and should be better for the run. In a good stable and hard to beat here.
Race 4 No.8 – GALWAY GIRL
Beaten a long way into 2nd last start but the winner has won well again since. ALDERMAN is the horse who will lead and who she will have to run down. The gate can help here. Every chance of landing in the first few pairs and the blinkers first time are what I’m banking on turning her into a winner.
Race 5 No.8 -TYCOON STREET
Even sort of race, just feel she is ready to win. Gate’s a little sticky so she’ll need a good steer early from Day. They let the leader walk last start which was against her, even though she was very good through the line. Looks easiest race she has contested for a while and hoping they get her back in the winners stall.
Horses running that we have blackbooked or who made the sectionals report:
THE DARK- (Race 4)
PRINCESS ARRABELLA- (Race 6)
2 November 2019
Another good weekend last weekend with 2/3 best bets and both blackbook runners winning. Be sure to share this racing page with racing mates, the more the merrier
Race 3 No.2-HAUTCLERE
Joins the Edmonds camp off some decent form in Victoria. Has had two trials here, both very quiet trials and hasn’t been let go yet. They have found the perfect race to kick off in. I’d say they bounce on the bunny and hold the front. PAY WITH CASH might be the quinella horse.
Race 4 No.4- CURRUMBIN CRAFT
Not as confident here but this is a good race for this horse if fit enough. That’s my query, does he just need this run to bring him on. He ran well in better races last prep and just got back too far on a couple of occasions. They should be able to land in front of a couple here and if they have to ride patient that’s fine as he does have a good sprint. Yet to win on Good ground so any rain would be a bonus.
Race 8 No.1- GOODONYA SONJA
Also accepted Brisbane but hoping they run here. Comes out of better races than this in town and the drop in grade is what she’s after. From the wide gate they could roll forward and likely to land outside leader. Looks well placed if they choose to run here.
BLACKBOOK/SECTIONALS horses we have mentioned that run today:
Race 5: CHARWAY (Sectionals) + SIMPLY SACRED (trials section)
Race 3: PAY WISH CASH (blackbook 2 runs back)
26 October 2019
Rail Position: +1.5 metres 1000m-400m; True remainder
Very tricky days racing, fine weather predicted and an eight race program. A very even card but there should be some decent value throughout the day and we will do our best to find it.
Race 2 No.4 – OWN SWEET WAY
Looks a very slow run race, OWN SWEET WAY and IVY’S COURT look the main players. IVY’S COURT comes out of the better races but I like OWN SWEET WAY getting out to the 1800m of this race. Good jock on top in Ryan Plumb, just needs to be aggressive early and make sure he is leading, they will slow it down mid-race and this horse is far better when leading. This is a happy hunting ground for trainer Natalie McCall with 6 of her last 12 Gold Coast starters getting the cash.
Race 5 No.7 – GIVEMEAMINUTE
This horse made our blackbook a few weeks back after running the best last 400 and 200m of the day. Has run since and I didn’t like the ride on that occasion or the fact it was 1350m. Back to 1200m suits and should be able to roll forward and find the one out, one back spot. Not brimming with confidence here but having a small play e/w if the right odds are available.
Race 6 No.6-ARGYLE SOLITARE (Roughie)
Try to find a value runner where possible so thought I’d throw her in. It’s a race of many chances and she just looks one that wants this trip to me. She’s looked gone at the 200m her last couple and then run the 2nd best last 200m in both those races. I’d have loved a gear change to get rid of the flat spot but hopefully Kilner is positive, leads or sits close and goes for home early to make a race of it. No good thing but worth throwing in quaddies etc.
Race 8 No.1-BORN BAD
We got the cash in the last race last week and feel we can do the same here. BORN BAD is in the Meagher stable and has only had the one run in QLD. Got back at Ipswich, the race did set up for him to run home and he was very good running the 2nd best last 200m of the race. WHITTINGTON WAYS and LOVE STRUCK have both been in good form, just feel BORN BAD can improve from that fresh run and with some luck in running be very hard to hold out late.
I’ll finish with just mentioning horses who have made it into our review section recently that are racing Saturday.
GIVEMEAMINUTE (Race 5)
LOVE STRUCK (Race 8)
19 October 2019
Rail goes back to the TRUE for the first time since August 3rd. Fine weather and expecting the track to play very fair for all. It looks a very even days racing and quite a hard day to nail a few best bets.
Race 2 No.2-MAKEUP
Trained on the track, nice trial before a very good debut run at Doomben. A very slow run race there and they were set up to sprint home, but sprint home she did. She ran the 2nd best last 400m and last 200m of the meeting. She should improve from the raceday experience and just needs a bit of luck or a good ride from the sticky gate. They don’t want to be landing last in this. If she is midfield before the corner they will know she’s there late. BEAUREGARD who we tipped last time and POWERING having first start for Edmonds look the main dangers but happy enough to have MAKEUP on top.
Race 6 No.1-BANTEUX
Waller runner who has been sent north to break through again. He’s shown enough down south to say he could win one or two up here. He was a pass mark at Benchmark 64 level last start, that was at the mile 2nd up. Sure to improve off that and out to 1800m is ideal 3rd run back. His only win was 3rd up last prep over 1900m. Has to lump the big weight but Colless can probably land in the third pair here and be ready to strike when the pace goes on before the corner. With the weight I’d rather be rolling before the corner and have momentum instead of missing the boat. Feel around $3.50+ would be a fair sort of price. WILLY BE LUCKY looks the main danger but has only won 1/24 so easy to lean the way of the Waller runner.
Race 7 No.2-ELIXIR
To be honest I tried to find anyway around tipping this horse and to try and find some value. He is just in so well under the plate conditions it’s hard to go past him. The little query is the apprentice from the outside gate but I’m assuming they come out positive and sit outside leader or simply push on to find the lead and try to slow them down. Back to 1300m suits, the 2kg off suits and this is a big drop in grade from what he’s been racing well against at metropolitan level. Respecting GALWAY GIRL and CABIN FEVER who are also locals and winning hopes.
12 October 2019
RAIL: 6m 1400-1000; 9.5m 1000-400; 8m 400-W/Post; 4m Remainder
*Rail stays out, last week a few loomed very wide on the track and didn’t really finish off. Think jockeys may stay near the fence this week but with rain predicted it may well be worth watching the first few races to see where the jocks go.
With rain around and scratchings likely it’s a hard meeting to find too many, but here are a few I have found.
Race 4 No.2-AMERICAN GENIUS
Don’t want to be taking anything under $2.50 if it comes to that but he’s an on speed runner who should be able to lead these or sit outside leader. I’d prefer the latter, nurse him around the corner and let him be strong through the line. Good strong win last start beating Italia Bella.
Race 5 No.6-DASHING SPECIAL
Not a good habit backing horses with this win rate, however his two wins have come in his last five starts. Forget last start in better grade, this is much easier and the runs before that can measure up. Trialed well in blinkers in a hot trial including Victorem and Fierce Impact – blinkers on today. Not going overboard here, just a slight lean to him at the weights over the topweight.
Race 7 No.2-PAY WITH CASH
Have had time for this horse since his first start. A real improving type who I feel will win better races than this. He has a beautiful action and the big positive last start was that even though he jumped slow again, he pushed forward and raced handy. He loomed to win a good Class 1 and should strip fitter. The wide gate allows Dittman time to slide forward and find a spot. If Soxagon scratches, as I predict, this horse just needs to handle the wet track if we get the rain and he’ll win.
*Be sure to check out the reviews and sectional stars from the last couple of weeks on the ‘Gibbo’s tips’ page while you’re here*
Gibbo’s Gold Coast selections 5th October 2019.
The rail has been gradually pushed out over the last half a dozen meetings. It hasn’t affected the pattern as the track raced beautifully last week and tempo was the what determined the winners.
Rail +6m 1400-1000, +9m 1000-W/P, +4m Remainder
Weather- Fine and track should be a Good 4.
*Here is a look at what I feel could be some of the better bets on the card. The only issue we have is the fact the bookies can go up very late on Gold Coast races compared to interstate markets. There might not be this many tips each week, I just particularly like the card this week and there is the extra race with the 3yr old maiden being split into two races.
(Best Bets/Plays have ** next to them)
Race 2 No.10- SNIT BALL
Handy little race, no doubt DWARF is the horse to beat and has trialled well. Costa and Heathcote both have debutantes who will win races also. Even though SNIT BALL was $61 on debut the run was very good. Got back in a slow run race which made it impossible, still ran the 5th best L200m of the meeting. Awkward gate is the issue, I could consider a little bet (1w x3p)
Race 3 No.3-READY TO PARTY * *
Have to admit I have a share in this boy. He’s always shown plenty at home but not much has gone right the last 12 months. Just seemed for one reason or another he’s been in the paddock. Feel he is a better horse than these and that he’ll be winning better races. My only little query is the 1200m fresh off the long break so needs a good ride from Dittman and to be nursed for as long as possible.
Race 4 No.7-BEAUREGARD * *
Trained locally by Heinrich this son of Brazen Beau showed good quality in a trial before making his debut on a bottomless track. He ran 4th there and although beaten a long way the run was full of merit and the form is good (Gem Of Scotland won that race). Comes here off a long break, 1100m should be suitable fresh. Sits on the leaders backs and should be too good.
Race 5 No.4- MISS AMBER (ew if $5+ available)
She raced well last prep but kicked this prep off with a couple of shockers. Blinkers went on and she improved sharply. Dittman can come out neutral here to find a spot in the first few pairs. Expecting her to sprint as she did last start and then try to hold off the late challenge of MISS CAVALLO who looks the main danger. Depending on prices I could even back MISS AMBER straight and cover my stake with a win bet on MISS CAVALLO.
Race 6 No.1-GREGORY * *
Yet another one I’m tipping for Dittman here! He’s never been a horse I’m that keen on, however he is in career best form this prep and looks really well placed. He won a CL4 two runs back before a good run at CL6 level. The drop back to this benchmark looks ideal and he has to be the one to beat.
Gibbo will be reviewing each weeks racing with blackbookers and sectional stars from Aquis Park racing. Be sure to check in each week for you excusive content to help you find your weekend winners!