Aquis Park – Saturday 18 January 2020
*Rain around and a chance of this turning into a lot of scratching’s come race day. Never ideal when doing form early. I don’t like horses coming off avg form and having to take on trust but that’s what I’ve done today. If the rain comes I’d expect them to come down the middle of the track.
RAIL- +3m 1400-W/Post; +1.5m Remainder.
Race 2 No.6 – VERNAZZA
She was very costly last start. She jumped well but the apprentice should never have let VERNAZZA get crossed. From there she had to peel out and the horse went sideways on the corner and never let down. You have to be very forgiving to fall into her again, just feel she is far better than what we saw last start and McGuren takes the ride from a decent gate.
Race 4 No.2 – LOVE EXPRESS
I said I’d back SCHWEIDA’s wherever it turned up next and have now gone another way. No doubt if Colless gives that horse a good ride it could just be too good. I liked the runs of LOVE EXPRESS last prep and it also ticked the heavy track box if we get to that. One official trial was good leading into this and should look the winner at some stage for sure.
Race 6 No.4 – PLUMARO
She hasn’t been placed to win this time in and that’s what I’m banking on. This is clearly the best she has been placed, she handles all ground and if Griffin stays in contact he can get her to the outside and give her the last shot at leaders. There is a chance she’s just lost form, I’m in the corner of wrong placing and races haven’t set up for her. She has a gear change every start and has again here, blinkers go back on and she gets a tongue tie.
Roughie: Race 8 No.10 – SIDEKISS
On the last start you couldn’t see this horse beating ROTHENBURG, as I type this there is a chance Rothenburg runs at Ballina. They should be able to bounce out and be the clear leader. I’ve liked both the return runs and my only concern is I’d have loved the blinkers back on. He’s been there to win and hasn’t been as strong late as last prep in my opinion. Might just be fitness, I’d just be more comfortable with them on. Throw him in quaddies anyway.
Gibbo’s 2020 Magic Millions preview:
Beautiful weather. The tracks as good as it’s ever been last week and expecting more of the same. A fantastic day of racing and there looks to be a few good bets on the card. Barriers have thrown a spanner in the works for some races but that’s what we are here for, to work out what it means and find the winners!
*Last week was tough for punters but hopefully a few punters followed us into GUARD OF HONOUR $6 and took the days ‘best roughie’ in YAMAZAKI at $14 in the last to help out.
Always a good way to start the day. I’ll be backing SIR ROCKET and making AEECEE BEAU a winning result also. SIR ROCKET has only had the one run to date and his effort was very good behind a horse who then went on to win another two and finished 2nd in a Group race. His trial here leading into this was brilliant and he draws gate 1. AEECEE BEAU was narrowly beaten in two hot maiden races. Recent trials have been very good and from gate 4 he lands in the first four settling without spending a penny. Waller has HULK and TAWARET, both above average and well placed in a maiden like this. LET IT POUR is the class runner but she has drawn the carpark, will need luck but hard to say she can’t win.
On Top: 5-SIR ROCKET $5 ++ 2-AEECEE BEAU $4
Next Best: 3-HULK, 9-TAWARET
Looks the ideal race for RECKLESS CHOICE. 1800m around the GC, 54kg and he is in form. The races haven’t really worked out for him his last couple and I’d like Boris to be a little more positive here and not lose sight of the bunny. Clark on DIAMONDS AND RUST will kid with them and try to steal a break, you can’t be flat footed when that occurs. RECKLESS CHOICE is always strong late and with the right ride the $6 looks a good price. (Price into $3 after scratchings) OVER EXPOSURE looked the main danger but they have decided to go to the 1400m race later in the day. You can go as wide as you like in trifecta’s and it’s a very even bunch away from the fav.
On Top: 6-RECKLESS CHOICE $3
Next Best: 5-ETANA
Interesting to see how they run this. KUBIS drops in weight, he will lead while FUN FACT might choose to sit outside lead this week. Do they go slow for as long as they can or do they wind it up and turn it into a staying affair to take some sprint out of the legs of THE CANDY MAN? I’ve put THE CANDY MAN on top, just not super keen to take the short quote. He’s been in work for a long time and a little question over the 2400m. He is the class runner. A MAN TO MATCH and FUN FACT come out of the Wave last week where they both ran extremely well. They both have upside and both are in very good form. KUBIS and BLACK ON GOLD might be the best of the rest.
On Top: 1-THE CANDY MAN
Next Best: 6-FUN FACT, 5-A MAN TO MATCH
Hot tempo in this, they will go like last weeks wages! I’ve wanted to be with CHAMPAGNE CUDDLES in the lead up to this but the gates are a little concern. ISAURIAN was exceptional in running 1:08:67 fresh to win a good listed race. Draws to get a good run and the only little query is that his fresh record is a lot better than his 2nd up record. CHAMPAGNE CUDDLES is a genuine group mare who has just lacked the killer punch late in her races at that level. Back to restricted racing and she just needs a good ride from the gate to blow them away late. Hoping Nash just rides quiet and he’d be a chance to follow ISAURIAN into the race. SCALLOPINI is one of my favourite horses. He can win for sure, can’t help but think the 1400m would have been a better race for him and I’d have probably gone there. He will sprout wings late here and be in the finish. MADAME ROUGE just needs some luck or a good steer from the inside gate to be a factor. A heap of other chances in a very good race.
On Top: 5 – CHAMPAGNE CUDDLES $4.50
Next Best: 4-ISAURIAN, 10-SCALLOPINI, 8-MADAME ROUGE
Can make a case for half the field and this is wide open. Not a great deal of speed so IRITHEA will lead them for a long way. YAMAZAKI was incredible last week, her L200m was 0.40 (or 2.5L) quicker than any other horse on the day. This race doesn’t have a lot of tempo so Boss will have to try and land midfield and then has the task of finding a run in the straight. With even luck she can win. LA TIGRESSA and MISTEED have finished next to each other their past two. Not much between them again here but with Nash taking the ride on LA TIGRESSA she just gets the nod over MISTEED for mine. INVINCIBELLA has won this race the last two years, she is the best horse in the race and I’d have her on top if she’d drawn a gate. INTO THE ABYSS comes off a win, as does TAHITIAN DANCER. Both are live hopes in a very even race.
On Top: 10-YAMAZAKI $9
Next Best: 16-LA TIGRESSA, 17-MISTEED, 2-IRITHEA, 1-INVINCIBELLA
I’ve got ALLIGATOR BLOOD landing 4-5th one off the fence and the fact is he should be too good for these. Personally, I’ll be playing some exotics as the $1.70 is too short for me. His 2nd in the Caulfield Guineas is clearly the best form of any of these. IT’S KIND OF MAGIC was excellent at the Valley last start. She can sit behind the leader and she will be the one hitting the front at the 300m. I expect her to run a really good race at $3 the place. LEVIATHAN, SUPERIUM, HIGHTAIL and EXHILARATES all get good runs and can run into first 4’s. EXILARATES was good fresh running the best L600-400m of the race, just got to a hopeless spot. Winkers go on here and she is a class runner. HIGHTAIL seems big odds at $18, he’s been very good this prep, ran well behind DIAMOND THUNDER before winning the Gosford Guineas beating EXILARATES. Should land midfield and be strong late DIAMOND THUNDER and PROFIT are very good horses who have drawn bad gates and will need a lot of luck. DIAMOND THUNDER gets the blinkers and they might really switch him on.
On Top: 2-ALLIGATOR BLOOD
Next Best: 5-EXHILIRATES, 3-HIGHTAIL, 15-IT’S KIND OF MAGIC, 6-SUPERIUM
Race 7: THE MAGIC MILLION CLASSIC:
One of the best editions I can remember. The Snowden’s have a major hand with four genuine chances. AIM is the fav and he is one horse who could blow these away. Both wins have been excellent, the issue is getting splits when needed. He will be stuck on the fence and Berry will have to extricate at the right time. STELLAR PAULINE has finished 2nd to AIM and EVERY ROSE at her two career runs but all reports say she is flying and the hot tempo will allow her to finish hard down the outside, she looks the best roughie in the race at $18. KING’S LEGACY won the best lead up race and he gets the winkers to keep him sharp. No doubt he ends up a miler in time but this stable will have him cherry ripe for this. NITROUS is the outsider of the Snowden team but his last win was better than it looks and he’s also a chance at odds. I have FARNAN on top, he’s a ripping colt who has been dominant at both career runs. He has good speed, he relaxes when he’s asked and he has a turn of foot. From the gate he gets the run of the race and I’d be surprised if he doesn’t start shorter than the $7 on offer. If they’d left the blinkers on from the gallop last week I’d have nearly made him a special.
On Top: 2-FARNAN $7
Hardest To Beat: 1-KING’S LEGACY, 15-STELLAR PAULINE, 5-AIM
Thought this was a great race for SCALLOPINI but he runs earlier in the day and makes this race probably the hardest race on the card. CRACK ME UP $9 is a genuinely good horse but he has the good horses weight (60kg). From gate 9 he should be able to land midfield or just worse and I expect him to come with a booming finish. Fresh run was good, recent trial good and he improves sharply 2nd up. VEGA ONE has hit his straps for Gollan and the last start win to get into this race was about a career best. Trialled well for this and with avg luck he’s the horse to beat. DEEP IMAGE is yet another Queenslander with a leading chance. He’s a new horse since changing stables and just keeps winning. He should push forward and overcome the bad gate pretty easily. OVER EXPOSURE and SHOGUN SUN both huge odds and they can be given thoughts in exotics from good gates. USAIN BOWLER is a very good horse on his day but he mixes his form horribly.
On Top: 1-CRACK ME UP $9.50
Next Best: 6-VEGA ONE, 3-DEEP IMAGE, 14-SHOGUN SUN $34
This looks like a great betting affair to finish the day, punters will zero in on CHAPTER AND VERSE, OUTBACK BARBIE and BOOMSARA. All are very good horses and are the obvious chances. OUTBACK BARBIE is a group quality mare who’s best just wins this. The issue is she’s let punters down on a few occasions and a lot have now given up on her. CHAPTER AND VERSE is as honest as they come, he will be midfield and sure to let down with a good turn of foot. He won this race last year and is going better this year. The little query is he has to lump the 58kg which he hasn’t carried in a long time. BOOMSARA is a horse I have trouble catching but on his day can absorb pressure and has run a few great races in his time (including this day last year). Best of the roughies and a live chance is RIVER RACER around $18. She has gradually built into her prep this time in and the runs have been better than they read on paper. Nash takes the ride and if she can find the back of OUTBACK BARBIE in the run she can be the fly in the ointment for the favs.
On Top: 4-OUTBACK BARBIE $5 ++ 5-RIVER RACER $18
Next Best: 3-CHAPTER AND VERSE, 2-BOOMSARA
Race 2 No.6–RECKLESS CHOICE $3.30
Best each way:
Race 7 No.2-FARNAN $6
Race 8 No.1-CRACK ME UP $9.50/$3.10
EARLY QUADDIE (races 2-5)
6 — 1,5,6 —- 4,5,8,10,13 —– 1,2,8,10,16,17
QUADDIE (races 6-9)
2 —- 1,2,5,7,15 —– 1,3,6,10,13,14 —– 2,3,4,5
THE WAVE raceday- AQUIS PARK January 2020:
Rail- TRUE; Weather-FINE
This is going to be a fantastic raceday, could be one of the better meetings held in qld over the past 12 months. Very competitive fields, good quality all day long and big fields also.
Hot tempo here, speed inside and out. CZARSON and LE PALMIER quality horses who will push forward from wide gates, just how much petrol they spend is the question. For that reason I’m with the locally trained filly TAKE TEA. She has built a very good record and she is nowhere near the finished product. She has a habit of running around in her races and still good enough to win. Booking of Boss is key and she will be very strong late off this tempo. LONGBOTTOM draws beautifully to get the run of the race and should be right on the leaders backs.
On Top: 4-TAKE TEA
Next Best: 1-CZARSON, 6-LONGBOTTOM, 2-LE PALMIER
EPIC GIRL is airborne. She beat up a good field two runs ago, was then up on a hot speed (5.6L fastest than benchmark to the 600m) last start and clearly the best of the leaders. If she runs up to that she will be winning this. Should land outside leader and will be first to challenge DREAM MASTER who should give a good kick on a track he enjoys. A LOT LIKE HOME $14 has drawn awkwardly but was good fresh and hasn’t missed a place 2nd up from four attempts. Should strip fitter and with even luck in running could be the value runner.
On Top: 7-EPIC GIRL $2.40
Next Best: 4-A LOT LIKE HOME ($14), 2-DREAM MASTER, 10-SHOGUN SUN
SMART ‘N’ SEXY might be one of the best on the day. Liked the trial before a debut run where not a lot went right (still best L400m of the race). She missed the start, got a check in the straight and probably didn’t help herself by doing a few things wrong. She should improve lengths off that run, she draws a good gate and just has to jump better to take care of these. If there is a fly in the ointment it might be MISS RHAPSODY, in a smart stable, has some breeding and unseen at trials. Watch the market with her.
On Top: 5-SMART ‘N’ SEXY $3
This is far more even than the fillies race. I’m going a bit against the market here, sometimes you just have to believe your eyes and although it was only a Murwillumbah win, I loved what I witnessed with VERBAL ASSAULT. He’s a nice colt and he’s improved every trial/race. Bad gate but he might have the speed to cross most of these and land in the first 4 and $8 looks a fair price. ANDERS was good late in a similar race to this last start, can again be competitive. CONCEITED won on debut, always have to respect these Godolphin horses heading north this time of year. WISDOM OF WATER is the horse everyone is talking about off trials. He has obvious ability, just has to be taken a bit on trust here.
On Top: 4-VERBAL ASSAULT $8
Next Best: 5-ANDERS, 1-CONCEITED, 11-WISDOM OF WATER
About the hardest race on the card. THE PINES looks the obvious and just needs some luck from the gate. They should string out with good speed engaged and that should allow her to find cover. She has won five of six and has the home track advantage. If the fav doesn’t have any luck CLOCKWISE could be the one who gets the right run from the good gate and looks to be placed well. Both her runs back have been good enough to win this and her late splits were excellent at Eagle Farm.
On Top: 5-THE PINES $3
Next Best: 12-CLOCKWISE $8
Speed on speed here. ARCHER’S PARADOX and BOOM CHICKA BOOM are probably the two fastest out of the gates and they will look to hold the fav SPURCRAFT 3 wide the trip. If SPURCRAFT can happen to cross one of them he is the class runner and has to be respected. He might just be good enough to sit three wide and win, it’s far from ideal though. GUARD OF HONOUR joins the Schweida camp and has trialled nicely leading into this. He probably hasn’t lived up to the early hype on him, however this race sets up perfectly for him to get the soft run and last shot at the leaders.
On Top: 4-GUARD OF HONOUR $6.50
Next Best: 1-SPURCRAFT, 7-BOOM CHICKA BOOM
THE WAVE has arrived! A very even race with a heap of chances. There should be an even tempo with FUN FACT running them along and all should get their chance.
DAWSON DIVA is incredibly hard to catch but her best is very good. The gate means she will spot them a start which isn’t ideal. CELLARMAID also has no gate speed, she is going to be a very good mare next year, this may have all come a bit soon. In saying that I lover the fact she is now at 1800m on this track. If she won it wouldn’t be a surprise. I’ve put ETANA and MATOWI on top without great confidence. ETANA is not at her top but this stable will have her cherry ripe for this and timed to the minute. Forget she went around two back, last start she had 59kg against the boys and she maps to get the run of the race here. MATOWI’s form from his last two will measure up well. He should land midfield, he’s run well on the backup before and expect him to launch late. A MAN TO MATCH has any amount of ability, he just doesn’t produce it when I tip him and vice versa.
On Top: 1-MATOWI $9 and 10-ETANA $6
Next best: 14-CELLARMAID, 9-DAWSON DIVA, 5-A MAN TO MATCH
Some sort of race this! MAGIC FOX (opened $21 TAB) has come back this prep with two brilliant runs. Both start he’s run the best L400m and 200m of the race. His L200m was the 4th best of a hot meeting last time out. He should land in front of 5-6 here with cover and he will flash late again. MORRISSY ($4.40) is the horse who can box seat and he has plenty of talent. 1300m should be ideal this part of his prep, good booking in Zahra and he looks the horse to beat. EDISON and SNOWZONE are both in good form, both draw gates and both will land in the first few pairs. MANDELLA will get back, placed out of his grade here but he has plenty of ability if he puts it all together. He was every bit as good as MAGIC FOX last start and actually meets him 3kg better at the weights.
On Top: 2-MORRISSY $4.40
Next best: 5-MAGIC FOX, 15-MANDELA, 14-SNOWZONE, 12-EDISON
Very good race to finish the day. GRAND SCHOLAR has been sensational this prep winning three in a row. She has drawn the carpark here and it’s her first go clockwise. Not easy to overcome by any means but she has the speed to lead or sit outside lead. She is the one who could blow them away or you could have your heart in your mouth at the 100m. MALAHIDE was excellent fresh last start, she got a great Fradd ride and put them to the sword quickly in the straight. CHURNING was good in the same race and meets MALAHIDE 1.5kg better off. More importantly she might find the back of MALAHIDE here and look for a tow into the race. Would have been keen to back YAMAZAKI ($13) from a gate here, unfortunately she has drawn the outside gate. She will have to go back and also try to make her run on the back of MALAHIDE and just hope there is enough speed in the race.
On Top: 15-GRAND SCHOLAR
Next Best: 11-YAMAZAKI ($13), 1-MALAHIDE, 9-CHURNING
GIBBOS BEST BETS:
Race 2 No.7-EPIC GIRL $2.40
Race 3 No.5- SMART ‘N’ SEXY $3
Race 8 No.2- MORRISSY $4.40
Best roughie: Race 9 No.11- YAMAZAKI $13
Aquis Beaudesert Friday 27 December 2019
Race 5 No.1-ZIGALLENE
Price might be the only issue, no idea what price they go up this horse. I’ve always liked her and I’m sure she goes on to better races. She has run ok here but I’d much rather be on a bigger track. Class probably just gets her home with even luck.
Race 6 No.1-SPANISH HURRICANE
Got the job done for us here last start and rock hard fit now. Should land in the first 4-5 and gets every possible chance. Fradd/Dunn combo looks enticing if $3.50 is bet.
Race 7 No.9-GOODONYA SONJA
Don’t think this horse has been placed well at all this prep and they have probably missed a couple of opportunities to win. They have found the perfect race from a perfect gate and if she hasn’t trained off she is the horse they have to beat.
Saturday 21 December 2019
Race 3 No.3 – PEPPI LA FEW
I always thought this horse was a myth but changed his form around last prep winning a couple of races. His first trial this time was fair but improved 2nd up and with blinkers should be right around the money.
Race 8 No.9 – VERNAZZA
They have opted for Apprentice Emily Atkinson to ride and I feel that’s a good sign, they aren’t over thinking it. Jumps from a good gate, take the claim with Emily and lead or sit on leaders back and she should just keep running over this trip. Looks the perfect race.
Race 9 No.7-SOJOURNIST
Liked L’amante and it got the job done at a silly price in maiden grade last start. She might come out and beat them again, I just feel they will over do it and she’ll start under the odds. SOJOURNIST has been racing well in better grade and looks well placed. Good jock, good gate, good chance.
Saturday 14th December, 2019
Another tough meeting, really looking forward to the big days for THE WAVE and The MAGIC MILLIONS on the 4th and 11th of January.
No great confidence this week, don’t want to make good things. I’ll just go over a few more races and horses that can run well. It’s been incredibly frustrating the number of horses I’ve tipped at $3 that have started odds on. Trying to avoid that this week and look for more value. Very hard to know as the markets go up so late.
Race 1 No.8-SHE’S WINNIE BLUE
I always rather horses with race experience like SOMEBODY’S GIRL, just feel SHE’S WINNIE BLUE trialled well leading into this and from the good gate might just be able to tuck in behind the leaders and with some luck in running might be able to get them down the last 50m.
Roughie- Race 2 No.10- ZAMOSA
I’ll be wanting around the $15 about this horse but that would be around enough to tempt me. There are two Waller horses and a Lees horse that should dominate the market. ZAMOSA was back too far in a walking race last start on a track you want to be forward on. Will need a very good ride from the gate but with luck can she be strong late and some hope.
Race 3 No.5-MOMENTUM TO WIN
Here’s one for the thrill seekers! I might tip one or two non-winners a year and this horse is 22 runs without a win (insert hands over face emoji). This is the best chance he will get. Although he doesn’t win, he does always try and with 54.5kg on his home track he gets his chance.
Race 5 No.5- VIOLET
A very good 3yr old race. DYNAMIC VERSE is also entered in Brisbane so that will make a big difference on the market here. Very hard to beat if he runs here. VIOLET was very consistent last prep without winning. Returned in a Toowoomba maiden and did what you’d expect beating an avg lot. Gets a nice run and should get last shot at the leaders. Should be getting around the $5 in a race like this.
Race 6 no.4- TATCEE
If she is black figures ($2+) I could back her. Not taking odds on but she’s a better horse than these. With some of the prices lately I very much doubt she will be backable!
Saturday 7 December 2019
That time of year we need to be paying for Christmas presents right? I’ll be doing my best to help. We did get 2/2 at Beaudesert midweek but you needed the early prices as Ramtastic was $2.30 into $1.35, crazy starting price!
This weekend doesn’t look the easiest day on the punt but have found a few that interest throughout the day.
Race 3 No.3 – DISCOMBE
A well bred type who has run well in the NSW provincials without winning. The query is travelling up here, hot weather, fresh and 1400m. The positives are he’s a better horse than these with more upside and maps to get an easy lead. I’d want about $3+ here and worth watching markets to see the confidence.
Race 6 No.9 – L’AMANTE
Showed glimpses last prep and not a lot went right when trapped wide a couple of times. Trial leading into this was good and feel they can be positive out of the gates and should be able to find a good spot, possibly box seat. Should win a few races this prep.
Race 8 No.4 – AURORA CHARM
Only had the one run for the Gollan camp and it was a solid run behind the promising Stylish Saga, big gap back to 3rd always a good sign. Race has good speed and he should be up there contesting the lead. From the good gate should be able to hold the fence or box seat if something wants to go silly up front. Like that pattern and although this is a handy race he should measure up. Anything around the $4 is about fair.
Aquis Beaudesert 4 December 2019
Track should be around the GOOD 3 range and playing pretty quick. Always a bonus to be up on speed at the tight turning track. Good day midweek last week and a poor Saturday so looking for some consistency. Just very hard to get a guide on these races in Queensland with our prices often the last to go up Australia wide.
Race 3 No.1 – RAMTASTIC
Always thought he’d go through the grades a little quicker. He has won or placed in 6 of 8 so still has a good overall record. DRAM OF DELAGO should lead and might take some catching, just feel this guy can get the upper hand late. I want $2.50+ and I could have a flutter.
Race 5 No.2 – SPANISH HURRICANE
He is a horse who takes a few runs to come to hand, that’s the little query, does he need one more? Was asked to do work and over raced last start, he should derive great benefit from that run and like the fact Fradd takes the ride here as the horse does race best for him. Opening price of $2.30 is too short. Should be $3.50+
Saturday 30 November 2019
RAIL: +8m 1400m-400m; Cutaway +6m 400m-W/Post; +3m Remainder
This looks one of the hardest days I can remember at Aquis Park for a while, there are likely to be many odds on favs so trying to avoid those races where possible.
Race 4 No.2 – QUEEN OF EMERALDS
Not a lot between this horse and the topweight but sticking with Allen & Anderson after they got the job done for us in the best bets last week. Although this mare looks a little limited she looks well placed here, she can find a spot in the first 4 settling and she won’t get a better chance to break her maiden status. She’s on top without great confidence.
Race 5 No.1 – FIREBOX
Had it’s chance last start and found a couple better. The positive was a huge gap back to the 4th horse. Was very good the start before that when attacking the line late. Needs luck from the gate, hoping he gets a track into the race and gets to the outside. PICTON is in our blackbook and looks hardest to beat.
Race 8 No.3 – BRANDO
He’s a bit of a one paced conveyance but his last two have been a great pointer for this. TOP ME UP AGAIN should be the main danger here and their chance with BRANDO is to make it a staying contest. There is other speed here so if they cross him you want BRANDO to still be positive and if need be go for home before the corner as it will take the sprint out of a few but this horse will stay on well as we witnessed last start.
Race 5 – PICTON
Wednesday 25 November 2019
RAIL: 7.5m 1400-400; 6m 400-W/Post; 4m Remainder.
Track has been racing well. Should start a Good 4, an upgrade wouldn’t surprise with hot, dry and windy weather predicted.
The start of the day looks very hard with a lot of horses on debut so I’m looking at the 2nd half of the card to try and nail a few best bets.
Race 5 No.7 – BARODA $2.30
Only had the one career run to date, was posted 4 wide the trip there, impossible task but stuck on ok. Had a few trials into this, all have been ok and after drawing well she looks like she can break the maiden status in this. RED HANA might be the hardest to beat and if they put up a decent price I could play a quinella with the two of them also.
Race 6 No.3 – AMORITA $5
Out to this trip for the first time and feel it should suit her. Petrified of BUFFY getting a nice run behind the speed, just hoping there is enough speed on for AMORITA to be the strongest late. Her fresh run was a pass mark and she should improve off that run.
Race 9 No.4- IN HIS STRIDE e/w $11
Not sure I’ve ever tipped a horse with 64 starts under their belt and he has a task against in form horses like TARBERT. I just feel TARBERT may be smashed in the market and start a crazy price. IN HIS STRIDE has been very good this prep without winning. This is a little easier for him, gets a good claim, might be able to sit midfield from the gate and feel he can make his presence felt late in proceedings at a decent price.
Saturday 23 November 2019
A good week last week with a couple of winners and looking to cash in again this week, hopefully some better prices as all three were very well supported last week. I have tried to put in a price guide as to what I think their prices should be.
RAIL: 7.5m 1400m-400m; 6m 400m-W/Post; 4m Remainder.
Race 4 No.8- FLATTER
Simply have to tip this filly. She made our blackbook section, the sectional stars page and she’s found the right race. Out to 1300m suits, she ran the fastest last 200m of the meeting on debut and I love backing horses at their 2nd career run. Should get around $3+ in the big field and anything over that would be a bet for me. The only query is traffic in the big field, Anthony Allen is on board and I think he’ll take that out of the equation.
Race 5 No.2- EQUIPPED
Very even sort of race. Have put EQUIPPED on top because I simply feel he comes out of the better form races compared to most of these. No luck at all two runs back and the run was ok. Last start loomed but maybe the tempo was against. Decent gate, hope they sit midfield and again like the booking of A Allen to steer. In a race like this I’d be wanting $6+ to be getting involved.
Race 8 No.5- SAYS WHO
Can see ROTHENBURG being smashed in the market here, he comes out of clearly the best form race and extremely hard to beat. Just feel SAYS WHO might be a bit of value. Only had the three runs and each run has showed some ability. Out to 1300m last start and broke maiden status. Now to 1400m suits, has a nice turn of foot and in form jockey Allan Chau takes the ride. Happy to bet if an each-way price is available . Might even have a sneaky quinella with ROTHENBURG depending on prices.
Racing at Aquis Park XXXX All Stars Raceday 16th November:
RAIL: +6m 1400 – W/Post; +3m Remainder
Great weather and a pretty good card of racing.
Race 3 No.7- IN GREAT NIC $5
Even sort of race and hard to make a best bet in. Just feel this really sets up well for her. She led, kicked to lead by 4L and held on late to win two runs back. Up in grade to a hot Saturday race and was wide the trip at EF. Drop in grade and finally gets a gate to box seat behind the leaders, that’s the big positive in a race with a bit of tempo.
Race 4 No.7- BORN BAD $2.25
We made this horse the best of the day a fortnight ago but they scratched and went to Brisbane. He ran very well in a much harder race and the run was strong after a very poorly timed ride. Took off early and circled from the 800m. It was a fast run race, he was 3 wide and ran the best 800-600m split of the race, there was no way he was going to have a horse left in the finish. Can make amends in this.
Race 7 No.4-SUKWHINDER $2.25
There’s a chance this simply starts too short. Anything $2+ would be enough for me, otherwise happy to watch on. She is an above avg filly who has a win over Neidorp in town. She was excellent fresh in a much harder race. She should be able to find a spot in the first few pairs and out to 1200m ideal. Hardest to best is Euro Belle who has to overcome the bad gate. Opened $2.25, not keen to take odds on but $2.25 ok.
Aquis Beaudesert Thursday 14 November 2019
*Tricky sort of day and expected to be very hot. Rail in True position and I’d expect the leaders to be able to run a bit of time so might be hard to catch.
*Reluctant to bet after unbelievably short odds offered for all 3 tips, but some for you to follow if interested.
Race 1 No.2 – HONOVI
Sticky sort of gate but has early speed, expecting them to be positive and lead out of the straight the first time. Once they are there Cormack can let one slip around or try to dictate from the front. HEATHROW looks the main danger but should be spotting HONOVI a decent start. Not taking any silly odds but could bet if $2.50+ was offered.
Race 2 No.1 – SPURIOUS
Missed the start hopelessly fresh before hitting the line very well in a decent maiden. Has been beaten a head in a metropolitan Saturday race and that form is outstanding for a race like this. Feel CRAIGLEA LIZZY will cross from the wide gate, SPURIOUS should be able to box seat and the leader will be the hardest to beat. Again I’d be wanting around $3+ to bet.
Race 4 No.7-SECRET CONQUEST
Another very even sort of race, just feel this horse can use the good gate to find a spot in the first few pairs. Although well held last start I really like the race (Dwarf won, Flatter 2nd). Was good through the line and this is simply an easier race. Like the fact Chau stays on too, would be chasing $6+.
Saturday 9 November 2019.
*A good week for the trial and blackbook horses to follow last week, unfortunately one of them actually beat our tip!
Race 1 No.9 – MALEEKA MISS
Trialed well leading into the debut run. Found one better on that occasion but the effort was good and should be better for the run. In a good stable and hard to beat here.
Race 4 No.8 – GALWAY GIRL
Beaten a long way into 2nd last start but the winner has won well again since. ALDERMAN is the horse who will lead and who she will have to run down. The gate can help here. Every chance of landing in the first few pairs and the blinkers first time are what I’m banking on turning her into a winner.
Race 5 No.8 -TYCOON STREET
Even sort of race, just feel she is ready to win. Gate’s a little sticky so she’ll need a good steer early from Day. They let the leader walk last start which was against her, even though she was very good through the line. Looks easiest race she has contested for a while and hoping they get her back in the winners stall.
Horses running that we have blackbooked or who made the sectionals report:
THE DARK- (Race 4)
PRINCESS ARRABELLA- (Race 6)
2 November 2019
Another good weekend last weekend with 2/3 best bets and both blackbook runners winning. Be sure to share this racing page with racing mates, the more the merrier
Race 3 No.2-HAUTCLERE
Joins the Edmonds camp off some decent form in Victoria. Has had two trials here, both very quiet trials and hasn’t been let go yet. They have found the perfect race to kick off in. I’d say they bounce on the bunny and hold the front. PAY WITH CASH might be the quinella horse.
Race 4 No.4- CURRUMBIN CRAFT
Not as confident here but this is a good race for this horse if fit enough. That’s my query, does he just need this run to bring him on. He ran well in better races last prep and just got back too far on a couple of occasions. They should be able to land in front of a couple here and if they have to ride patient that’s fine as he does have a good sprint. Yet to win on Good ground so any rain would be a bonus.
Race 8 No.1- GOODONYA SONJA
Also accepted Brisbane but hoping they run here. Comes out of better races than this in town and the drop in grade is what she’s after. From the wide gate they could roll forward and likely to land outside leader. Looks well placed if they choose to run here.
BLACKBOOK/SECTIONALS horses we have mentioned that run today:
Race 5: CHARWAY (Sectionals) + SIMPLY SACRED (trials section)
Race 3: PAY WISH CASH (blackbook 2 runs back)
26 October 2019
Rail Position: +1.5 metres 1000m-400m; True remainder
Very tricky days racing, fine weather predicted and an eight race program. A very even card but there should be some decent value throughout the day and we will do our best to find it.
Race 2 No.4 – OWN SWEET WAY
Looks a very slow run race, OWN SWEET WAY and IVY’S COURT look the main players. IVY’S COURT comes out of the better races but I like OWN SWEET WAY getting out to the 1800m of this race. Good jock on top in Ryan Plumb, just needs to be aggressive early and make sure he is leading, they will slow it down mid-race and this horse is far better when leading. This is a happy hunting ground for trainer Natalie McCall with 6 of her last 12 Gold Coast starters getting the cash.
Race 5 No.7 – GIVEMEAMINUTE
This horse made our blackbook a few weeks back after running the best last 400 and 200m of the day. Has run since and I didn’t like the ride on that occasion or the fact it was 1350m. Back to 1200m suits and should be able to roll forward and find the one out, one back spot. Not brimming with confidence here but having a small play e/w if the right odds are available.
Race 6 No.6-ARGYLE SOLITARE (Roughie)
Try to find a value runner where possible so thought I’d throw her in. It’s a race of many chances and she just looks one that wants this trip to me. She’s looked gone at the 200m her last couple and then run the 2nd best last 200m in both those races. I’d have loved a gear change to get rid of the flat spot but hopefully Kilner is positive, leads or sits close and goes for home early to make a race of it. No good thing but worth throwing in quaddies etc.
Race 8 No.1-BORN BAD
We got the cash in the last race last week and feel we can do the same here. BORN BAD is in the Meagher stable and has only had the one run in QLD. Got back at Ipswich, the race did set up for him to run home and he was very good running the 2nd best last 200m of the race. WHITTINGTON WAYS and LOVE STRUCK have both been in good form, just feel BORN BAD can improve from that fresh run and with some luck in running be very hard to hold out late.
I’ll finish with just mentioning horses who have made it into our review section recently that are racing Saturday.
GIVEMEAMINUTE (Race 5)
LOVE STRUCK (Race 8)
19 October 2019
Rail goes back to the TRUE for the first time since August 3rd. Fine weather and expecting the track to play very fair for all. It looks a very even days racing and quite a hard day to nail a few best bets.
Race 2 No.2-MAKEUP
Trained on the track, nice trial before a very good debut run at Doomben. A very slow run race there and they were set up to sprint home, but sprint home she did. She ran the 2nd best last 400m and last 200m of the meeting. She should improve from the raceday experience and just needs a bit of luck or a good ride from the sticky gate. They don’t want to be landing last in this. If she is midfield before the corner they will know she’s there late. BEAUREGARD who we tipped last time and POWERING having first start for Edmonds look the main dangers but happy enough to have MAKEUP on top.
Race 6 No.1-BANTEUX
Waller runner who has been sent north to break through again. He’s shown enough down south to say he could win one or two up here. He was a pass mark at Benchmark 64 level last start, that was at the mile 2nd up. Sure to improve off that and out to 1800m is ideal 3rd run back. His only win was 3rd up last prep over 1900m. Has to lump the big weight but Colless can probably land in the third pair here and be ready to strike when the pace goes on before the corner. With the weight I’d rather be rolling before the corner and have momentum instead of missing the boat. Feel around $3.50+ would be a fair sort of price. WILLY BE LUCKY looks the main danger but has only won 1/24 so easy to lean the way of the Waller runner.
Race 7 No.2-ELIXIR
To be honest I tried to find anyway around tipping this horse and to try and find some value. He is just in so well under the plate conditions it’s hard to go past him. The little query is the apprentice from the outside gate but I’m assuming they come out positive and sit outside leader or simply push on to find the lead and try to slow them down. Back to 1300m suits, the 2kg off suits and this is a big drop in grade from what he’s been racing well against at metropolitan level. Respecting GALWAY GIRL and CABIN FEVER who are also locals and winning hopes.
12 October 2019
RAIL: 6m 1400-1000; 9.5m 1000-400; 8m 400-W/Post; 4m Remainder
*Rail stays out, last week a few loomed very wide on the track and didn’t really finish off. Think jockeys may stay near the fence this week but with rain predicted it may well be worth watching the first few races to see where the jocks go.
With rain around and scratchings likely it’s a hard meeting to find too many, but here are a few I have found.
Race 4 No.2-AMERICAN GENIUS
Don’t want to be taking anything under $2.50 if it comes to that but he’s an on speed runner who should be able to lead these or sit outside leader. I’d prefer the latter, nurse him around the corner and let him be strong through the line. Good strong win last start beating Italia Bella.
Race 5 No.6-DASHING SPECIAL
Not a good habit backing horses with this win rate, however his two wins have come in his last five starts. Forget last start in better grade, this is much easier and the runs before that can measure up. Trialed well in blinkers in a hot trial including Victorem and Fierce Impact – blinkers on today. Not going overboard here, just a slight lean to him at the weights over the topweight.
Race 7 No.2-PAY WITH CASH
Have had time for this horse since his first start. A real improving type who I feel will win better races than this. He has a beautiful action and the big positive last start was that even though he jumped slow again, he pushed forward and raced handy. He loomed to win a good Class 1 and should strip fitter. The wide gate allows Dittman time to slide forward and find a spot. If Soxagon scratches, as I predict, this horse just needs to handle the wet track if we get the rain and he’ll win.
*Be sure to check out the reviews and sectional stars from the last couple of weeks on the ‘Gibbo’s tips’ page while you’re here*
Gibbo’s Gold Coast selections 5th October 2019.
The rail has been gradually pushed out over the last half a dozen meetings. It hasn’t affected the pattern as the track raced beautifully last week and tempo was the what determined the winners.
Rail +6m 1400-1000, +9m 1000-W/P, +4m Remainder
Weather- Fine and track should be a Good 4.
*Here is a look at what I feel could be some of the better bets on the card. The only issue we have is the fact the bookies can go up very late on Gold Coast races compared to interstate markets. There might not be this many tips each week, I just particularly like the card this week and there is the extra race with the 3yr old maiden being split into two races.
(Best Bets/Plays have ** next to them)
Race 2 No.10- SNIT BALL
Handy little race, no doubt DWARF is the horse to beat and has trialled well. Costa and Heathcote both have debutantes who will win races also. Even though SNIT BALL was $61 on debut the run was very good. Got back in a slow run race which made it impossible, still ran the 5th best L200m of the meeting. Awkward gate is the issue, I could consider a little bet (1w x3p)
Race 3 No.3-READY TO PARTY * *
Have to admit I have a share in this boy. He’s always shown plenty at home but not much has gone right the last 12 months. Just seemed for one reason or another he’s been in the paddock. Feel he is a better horse than these and that he’ll be winning better races. My only little query is the 1200m fresh off the long break so needs a good ride from Dittman and to be nursed for as long as possible.
Race 4 No.7-BEAUREGARD * *
Trained locally by Heinrich this son of Brazen Beau showed good quality in a trial before making his debut on a bottomless track. He ran 4th there and although beaten a long way the run was full of merit and the form is good (Gem Of Scotland won that race). Comes here off a long break, 1100m should be suitable fresh. Sits on the leaders backs and should be too good.
Race 5 No.4- MISS AMBER (ew if $5+ available)
She raced well last prep but kicked this prep off with a couple of shockers. Blinkers went on and she improved sharply. Dittman can come out neutral here to find a spot in the first few pairs. Expecting her to sprint as she did last start and then try to hold off the late challenge of MISS CAVALLO who looks the main danger. Depending on prices I could even back MISS AMBER straight and cover my stake with a win bet on MISS CAVALLO.
Race 6 No.1-GREGORY * *
Yet another one I’m tipping for Dittman here! He’s never been a horse I’m that keen on, however he is in career best form this prep and looks really well placed. He won a CL4 two runs back before a good run at CL6 level. The drop back to this benchmark looks ideal and he has to be the one to beat.
Gibbo will be reviewing each weeks racing with blackbookers and sectional stars from Aquis Park racing. Be sure to check in each week for you excusive content to help you find your weekend winners!