Friday 3 April 2020
Great conditions for racing this week. A dry week and a Good track, perfect!
We kicked off last week with a $9 winner which is great but the last two favs went horrible in my opinion. This is a huge day with a heap of acceptances so let’s see what we can find.
Be sure to share the link with your racing mates.
Race 4 No.7 – LONGBOTTOM $6.50
She’s a filly taking on the older boys etc which is never easy. I do think she has a little class edge and can be competitive. She was good in better races last prep and carried the big weight fresh. She should roll forward and FUJI FLYER probably pushes on. Around the e/w seems fair LONGBOTTOM.
Race 5 No.5 – JAY JAY D’AR $3.50
Doesn’t win out of turn but is a consistent type. Raced better horses in only Qld start and was good there and not beaten far. Really liked the recent trial where she got back a little and was strong through the line. Cahill in form and expect her to land midfield and be strong late.
Race 7 No.1 – PEPPI LA FEW $2.90
On recent form he should just win but I don’t want to fall into odds on if it comes to that. Will push forward again and only has to run up to either of his last two runs to win.
Race 9 No.6 – HIGH DEGREE e/w $16
Really surprised they didn’t run in a winnable race last Saturday and was good odds there. This is also suitable and from the good gate should land in the first half of the field. She is very consistent without winning out of turn. Feel she is a nice e/w gamble.
Race 10 No.7 – GREY MISSILE $3.50
Should really just be winning this on recent form. Beaten a nose in the Goldmarket here last start and that’s excellent form for this. Parks right behind the leaders who will run along and gets every possible chance. REMOVAL looks the quinella horse off the good fresh run and FREDDIE FOX TROT can improve if he finds some cover from the bad gate.
Saturday 28 March 2020
Qld racing have taken measures to make ‘racing regions’ and it’s great to know they are having a good attempt to keep racing going in the state. They should be commended on the decision.
One of the hardest days I can remember on the coast! Hard enough as it is but rain predicted is a spanner in the works. We have to be patient for the days best bets and I’ve decided to preview the quaddie legs and numbers each leg. (best bets the last two races)
Race 5 No.6 – TOP PINS
Very even sort of race but really liked what she did last prep. Has to lump the big weight which isn’t ideal for a filly. She can have a little flat spot but when she picks up she really runs through the line. If she is e/w odds ($5+) I could have a little play e/w.
Race 6 No.6 – ALPENDURA
Showed enough last prep. I’m a fan of REPLICATION and feel it’s the main danger. Forgive the last run in much better grade. ALPENDURA has trialled well leading into this and off that last prep should be the horse they all have to beat.
Race 7 No.1 – GREAT POWERS (Next Best)
Has been racing in better grade than this and has been racing well. The 3kg claim is ideal and this looks the perfect target. Handles all conditions although I’d rather the rain not come. The Plitvice and The Kingdom form is very good for a race like this.
Race 8 No.2 – REST OF THE WORLD (best bet)
Blinkers come off here. He was a month between runs last start and the effort was ok although beaten. From a good gate Dittman should be able to land about 5-6th and get every chance. Still haven’t found his top and this looks a winnable race.
AQUIS PARK Beaudesert Friday 27 March 2020
Tricky day and on a good track I’m looking at those up on speed who can rail and kick off the corner.
*Not making these BEST BETS, just giving the GCTC punters my on top selections as a guide.
Race 2 No.2-MIKADO
This is a very tricky race with a heap of first starters in good stables. Liked the effort of MIKADO at Grafton. Was wide and forced to race further back than expected. Picked up in the straight and very good last 100m. Gets a better run from the gate. I will mention WAVE MAKER who we blackbooked off the trials this week. If he can cross from that gate he can beat these. I’ll back both if prices allow.
Race 3 No.3 CORSINI
She’s been in good form, feel she got a great run in transit but took off early last start. Can hold a spot here and with a patient ride should be able to get them down late.
Race 6 No.2-BAY OF DRAGONS
Leads them up and gets all the favours. Will be able to kick off the corner and the last 50m might be heart in the mouth stuff but we should get a good sight.
Race 8 – (1-8-10) quinella
ZIGALLENE’S best would flog these, she just mixes her form horribly. LUCAP ready to win but needs a good steer from the gate. I’M KATE looks well placed and good jock to steer.
Saturday 21 March 2020
A great days racing on a drying track last week. A couple of our tips ran well without winning. Hopefully a few followed us into the winning quaddie.
This week we should be on the perfect racing surface. It looks an even card and where possible I’ve looked wide for some value. Might split my stake and back a couple of horses in the same race.
Race 2: (1800m Maiden)
Big field and they will have to sort themselves out quickly. Leaning to a couple with good gates. WURNIC is a frustrating type who runs well but can find one better. That happened again last start when she looked the winner. She will be right in the market and sure to look the winner at the 100m. Want to speck JUST WISHING who went around on Wednesday and had no luck at all in the straight. Very hard to know what she had to offer but out to this trip I want to have something on at a big price.
Backing: 5 – JUST WISHING and 10 – WURNIC
Race 4: (1200m Maiden)
BROKEN WINDOWS still lightly raced and feel he can improve off the Grafton run. He had every chance and no excuses there but wasn’t beaten far. Should be able to sit in the first few pairs here and again get every possible. SNIT BALL will be big odds and maybe deserves to be. She’s just a filly that has shown glimpses and I’m sure she wins a race like this at some stage. Gets gear changes and gate 1. Another I have to speck at odds.
Backing: 4-BROKEN WINDOWS and 15-SNIT BALL
Race 5: (1400m Class 4)
JACKPOT JAY is flying. Has built into the prep beautifully and was dominant here last start. Gets the run of the race and as long as he is around $2.50+ I’d be happy to have something on him while he’s in this form.
Backing: 2-JACKPOT JAY
Race 8: (1400m Class 1 Plate)
Very even sort of race but feel CANDY FLOSS is the horse they all have to beat. Gets the 3kg claim to get in well and the apprentice just has to give her an even steer to be right in this. Should be in front of midfield with cover. Find fresh air at the top of the straight and let her do the rest.
Backing: 10-CANDY FLOSS
Saturday 14 March 2020 – AQUIS JEWEL DAY:
A terrific day of racing and after a heap of rain to kick the week off we have had a few drying days. Big fields all day and also most races have very good speed engaged to give them all a chance.
Only tip last week CUBIX very unlucky, should have got the cash but that’s racing. This week I have decided to go over the Quaddie legs.
Race 6 No.9 – REMOVAL $10 ew
Speed on speed here. BOOM CHICKA BOOM should be able to hold them all out. He has won or placed in 5 of 6 this track/trip. This sets up well again and he’s clearly the horse they all have to beat. REMOVAL no doubt wants further but on the home track and fresh he can be competitive. Has won 3 of 6 fresh and continued to improve last prep. Needs to hold a spot in the first half and expect him to burst through late.
Race 7 No.2 – GUNTANTES $5.50 ++ 9-BABY BOOMER $11
One of the best races I can remember. Incredible amount of speed, some of the leaders are the main hopes but I want to look for those sitting off speed and rattling late. GUNTANTES took all before him last preparation. Probably easier grade than this and more at a mile but his recent trial was excellent and from the gate should get the right run. BABY BOOMER has come back a better horse, every run this prep have been top shelf. He’s likely to land midfield and like Guntantes he will get to the outside and be the flashing light late. Untested on a wet track is the query.
Race 8 No.1 – CHAPTER AND VERSE $6 ew
Been racing in very good grade all prep and this is no harder. Looked the winner over this track/trip on Magic Millions day before just being run down late. Should land in the first three pairs, if he can peel to the outside of the leaders he is going to look the winner for sure and looks well placed here to win another feature. Has trialed recently, won that trial beating Guntantes (who runs the race before this).
Race 9 No.9 – TOKORIKI LAD $13 ew
This horse can’t draw a gate! He hasn’t got early speed so those gates have meant he has to get a long way back and it’s mission impossible. The gate is an issue yet again, the positive here is he loves this track. Clearly perform better here than anywhere else. I’ll admit he needs a good steer and things to go his way. At double figure odds I’m prepared to take that gamble and have something on him in a tough race to finish the day.
(price guide- $90 will get 30%)
*Good luck, have a great day out!
Saturday 7 March 2020
This weather pattern is making it extremely hard to find winners this week. Two weeks back was dry and a lot easier to make a profit. Again this week we have rain predicted race day so have to take a bit of a gamble and look for those who will like the edge off the track.
Not very confident this week with rain around and a very tough card. Hope you all have plenty of fun and jag a winner or two.
Race 2 No.8 – DOTTI DEAR
She is a 5yr old mare having just her 2nd career run. On debut she got back and was very good through the line. She should take improvement from that run and be better for the raceday experience. Will need a very good ride from an awkward gate. Never ideal drawn out there but a repeat of the last run goes close.
Race 3 No.12 – REMUNERATIVE
Trial leading into debut was pretty good. The debut run was a complete forgive. Got back in the field and pretty much never got clear the whole straight. LA TRIOLI is the one they all have to beat, REMUNERATIVE may be some value in an open race.
Race 7 No.15-CUBIX
Bit of a throw at the stumps here. He is a horse I’ve always had a bit of an opinion of and things just haven’t panned out so far. He was a pass mark here fresh, I would have liked him to be a little better through the line but he will be a lot better for that run. If the rain stays away gate 1 will give him his chance and just a small bet to finish the day as he should be good odds. One to add to your quaddie at the very least.
Saturday 29 February 2020
A great week last week with two from three winning. As much as $8 was bet about Replication while Don’t Leave Me Out was around $3.50 all the way through betting.
*This week the rail moves out and the issue will be how much of the rain hits with some predicted Friday and Saturday. That makes it very hard, we will be doing our best.
Race 4 No.1 – GOLDNEALA
This horse had shown a bit in trials and the debut run was very good. Looked to bump into a smart one there. Like the big action this horse has and from the good gate she should be able to sit in the first 5-6 settling in a race without great speed. Just has to lump the 59kg and will be hard to beat.
Race 5 No.5 – MITTERE
Never thought I’d tip a Class 1 horse in a Class 4 race but here we are. This horse has come back well this prep. Has always been a leader because of his exceptional early speed. Sat off the leader last start and good over 1200m at Eagle Farm. They need to jump positive and if a few others want to go silly (which I think they will) Griffin can box seat and peel off their backs on the corner, just feel he will finish off strong ridden that way. Back to 1100m looks ideal.
Race 7 No.5 – MYSTIC MIST + 2 – FANX
I’ll likely split my bet here, might back MYSTIC MIST and cover my bet with FANX or make it a small winning result also (depending on prices). FANX has been in career best form, races up on speed and is the likely leader here. Should be a horse that will really suit Colless, he can sit and swing as long as he wants before asking for an effort. The last run in town would win this for sure. MYSTIC MIST is an underrated type, my query is just if she needs this one run to be at her best as her 2nd up record is better. Her fresh run last prep was very good but she’d had two trials leading into that. Handles all conditions and should be the one flashing late.
Saturday 22 February 2020
Rail Position: +7m 1400m-400m; +5.5m 400m-W/Post; +3m Remainder
Race 2 No.6 – HEMBROW (Would be after around $4+)
Surprisingly good race here. LOOMING LARGE trialed like a star and it might have flattened the horse or he just didn’t like Eagle Farm. MAGIC AMELIA will be winning races for sure. Just like the way HEMBROW went about it in winning trial. Showed speed and gate 2 means he can camp on the speed or stalk the speed and peel off them on the corner. Happy to be in his corner and form from this race should be good.
Race 5 No.2 – DON’T LEAVE ME OUT ($4+)
Another good race. Plenty of speed engaged and feel DON’T LEAVE ME OUT can bounce on the bunny or just take a sit right in behind the speed if they want to go silly in front. Has been to a few different stables and this is the first start for Wilson. Led in a recent trial and was a nice winner there going through the line well.
Race 6 No.2 – REPLICATION ($4+)
Was $31 last start and ran a lot better than those odds suggested. Pretty handy sort of maiden it was too and expect form to be good out of it. Out to 1200m is ideal and it pretty much comes down to the steer Dittman can give it from gate 1. I’d want to be getting off the fence before the corner and going for home.
AQUIS PARK selections 15/2
Rain rain go away! A very wet surface this week. Obviously that makes it very hard regarding scratching’s etc. Here are the thoughts for the day.
Race 2 No.4 – HOLLY RUN
Looks a competitive race and CARIBBEAN KISSES should be the hardest to beat as it will roll to the front with the apprentice on and try to kick away on the corner. Liked the run of HOLLY RUN last start, not a lot of luck on the corner and was very good through the line late. Should get to the middle of the track and be strongest late.
Race 4 No.3 – BUFFALO GIRL
Placed well out of her grade last start and although beaten 3.5L she was very good running the best last 200m of the race. A genuine heavy is a little query and tactics are key here as best ride might win the race. She has a good turn of foot and if she’s close enough she can out sprint these late. RICHEST up on speed might be hardest to beat.
Race 5 No.6 – DEFENCE MISSILE
Has to be taken on trust here, a long time between runs but a wet track and small field look ideal. Wide all the way fresh and didn’t mind the run. Hoping they are positive and either lead or sit outside leader and make the others do the chasing.
Aquis Beaudesert – Saturday 8 February 2020
Always very hard when rain is around and also the fact we will get a lot of scratching’s.
Race 2 No.1 – PEXBURY AVENUE
Hopefully after the two runs back they are positive and take up a handy position from the gate. MIGHTY MOOSE will lead and looks the main danger so the best case scenario would be to find the back of that horse and if they don’t want to go fast enough go for home early and make them chase.
Race 4 No.12 – SWAN ISLAND
1100m is about as far she wants to go. Forgiving the last run and going off the run two back when only beaten 2.7L by Dixon Bay who then went on to win again. That run would win this but obviously have to take on trust.
Race 5 No.9 – ZARAFET
Actually a very interesting race. ZARAFET and KRAKATOA ERUPTION both come off big wins in the bush and both should win a couple more. Slight lean to ZARAFET simply because there is wet track form there. Should be able to sit on the outside of the leader and shoot to the middle of the track on the corner.
Aquis Park – Saturday 1 February 2020
Gibbo’s selections Aquis Park 1/2/20
*COSMIC HAZE was the winner last weekend and LUCKY PROSPECTOR put us in front Wednesday after he drifted to $7.40 and won on the back of a very good ride from Nothdurft.
Other than the horse in race 3 I’ve simply looked for value on a very tough day. More a form guide and ‘best value’ than ‘best bets’. I’ve added a price guide that I’ll be using, if the horses are well under that price I’ll watch on or wait till race time to see what they will start at.
Race 3 No.3 – KING OF THE REALM ($2)
Want to see prices here and only betting if $2+. Really hard to see him being beaten off his last two runs. Ballina track didn’t suit and he still attacked the line late. Handy field last time and good again. That form is far better than these, I’m just not one to take odds on if it comes to that.
Race 6 No.1 – FABULONH (If $6+ only)
Well I promised myself I’d never back this horse again and here we are. I have a genuine concern at the track rating by now as this horse loves (needs) to get his toe in a little. Change of stable is no concern. Fresh is good and to be straight to the point, his best is simply better than them. If he doesn’t win I’m not sure where they go.
Race 7 No.2 – CANUSEE ($12+)
Prices not out as I type this but this horse should open between $10-15 in this field. Miss Switzerland and Deep Echo will head the market, Waller and Gollan have handy runners down the bottom and Hull has a runner from Melbourne that won by 5L last start, now I say it out loud it might open a bigger price! I just liked the debut run, then over raced when checked mid-race next start. Was four wide the trip last time and ok through the line. Up in weight sharply is a genuine concern but the good gate means she gets a good run in transit. Maybe a small play at decent odds.
Roughie: Race 8 No.10 – I AM COURAGE ($10+)
Should be the value runner for the day. He’s a very hard horse to catch and will need a good ride from Taylor. No doubt in my mind this horse is best when produced on the outside of horses, seems to not let down as well inside horses. Must stay one off the fence and land in the first few pairs. If that’s the case he could be some value for punters in the last leg of the quaddie.
Aquis Park – Wednesday 29 January 2020
Rail Position: 3 metres 1400-W/Post; 1.5 metres Remainder.
Race 3 No.2 – CHRISTMAS CREEK $4.20
12 runs without a win so you can’t obviously be too confident. Does have a good pattern, will land in first couple of pairs and look the winner. Was soft late last start but I like the gear change of visors on, that might make him run through the line.
Race 4 No.4 – VERNAZZA $4
Prepared to forgive the last start where she was too bad to be true and give her one more chance. The apprentice didn’t choose the right option early and when she peeled off the leader she ran off the track. Senior goes on and her best is a lot better than we witnessed last time.
Race 7 No.2 – LUCKY PROSPECTOR $5
Had Sister Patti on top before she was scratched. There hasn’t been much between them and LUCKY PROSPECTOR hasn’t had a lot of luck late. This looks a bit easier and happy to have a small play here near the end of the day with a very good jock on top.
Aquis Beauedesert – Australia Day
*I’ve done this form on Heavy as they have predicted rain close to raceday.
Race 2 No.12 – ZAMZARA
This will just come down to price. If $3+ is bet I could play. She has the get back style which isn’t ideal here and the inside gate is a query for her as she might get planted on the fence, that’s why you want a decent price. She is far better than her record reads and looks to have come back a better horse with a couple of very good runs.
Race 4 No.1 – AGGRAVATE
To be honest I just feel Bradley Stewart can outride them here. From the good gate he can be positive and make it tough for a few drawn out. He is a horse who has carried weight ok and can handle wet tracks. In Brad we trust.
Race 10 No.15 – ARC OF GOLD
I know, I know, it’s the hardest race of the day and you’re tipping a non winner. I actually reckon this horse can gallop a bit and I like the way this sets up for it. Her only career win to date was this track and trip. She can be positive from the gate but I hope they let a couple cross. I’d love to land in the 2nd pair and be able to get the run on the corner and shoot for home. If that’s the case she will give a great sight.
Aquis Park Saturday 25 January 2020
Rail Position: +3m 1400m-W/Post; +1.5m Remainder.
*Extremely hard day. Drying track is a positive and big fields mean there might be some value around.
Race 4 No.10 – COSMIC HAZE
Was in last week before the rain arrived. Back to 1800m no issue and you have to respect this stable when they head north. Like the booking of Tilley and he will need to give her a good steer from the gate. Hopefully he is a touch positive and puts her in the race.
Rce 5 No.7 – ROMANI COUNTESS
Far from confident in this race but feel this horse will enjoy the edge out of the track and the 1800m should be suitable. Griffin takes the ride and hoping he is positive early and try to land in the first four and one off the fence which will allow him to get to the outside in the straight.
Race 8 No.1 – OCEAN WAVES
His best is a lot better than these. He’s raced at G3 level and was only beaten 2.7L. Very good fresh run behind the classy Malahide was a good guide for this. The little query is the last start effort which was nearly a career worst! Was up on a fast speed, just forgiving that run and taking on trust.
Race 9 No.3-SMART AS ATTACK
Will be very hard to beat BOLD WARRIOR who is a very good horse. SMART AS ATTACK meets that horse 2kg better off from their last meeting and any rain would enhance this horses chances. All the same there isn’t much between them and the best ride may be the difference.
Aquis Park – Saturday 18 January 2020
*Rain around and a chance of this turning into a lot of scratching’s come race day. Never ideal when doing form early. I don’t like horses coming off avg form and having to take on trust but that’s what I’ve done today. If the rain comes I’d expect them to come down the middle of the track.
RAIL- +3m 1400-W/Post; +1.5m Remainder.
Race 2 No.6 – VERNAZZA
She was very costly last start. She jumped well but the apprentice should never have let VERNAZZA get crossed. From there she had to peel out and the horse went sideways on the corner and never let down. You have to be very forgiving to fall into her again, just feel she is far better than what we saw last start and McGuren takes the ride from a decent gate.
Race 4 No.2 – LOVE EXPRESS
I said I’d back SCHWEIDA’s wherever it turned up next and have now gone another way. No doubt if Colless gives that horse a good ride it could just be too good. I liked the runs of LOVE EXPRESS last prep and it also ticked the heavy track box if we get to that. One official trial was good leading into this and should look the winner at some stage for sure.
Race 6 No.4 – PLUMARO
She hasn’t been placed to win this time in and that’s what I’m banking on. This is clearly the best she has been placed, she handles all ground and if Griffin stays in contact he can get her to the outside and give her the last shot at leaders. There is a chance she’s just lost form, I’m in the corner of wrong placing and races haven’t set up for her. She has a gear change every start and has again here, blinkers go back on and she gets a tongue tie.
Roughie: Race 8 No.10 – SIDEKISS
On the last start you couldn’t see this horse beating ROTHENBURG, as I type this there is a chance Rothenburg runs at Ballina. They should be able to bounce out and be the clear leader. I’ve liked both the return runs and my only concern is I’d have loved the blinkers back on. He’s been there to win and hasn’t been as strong late as last prep in my opinion. Might just be fitness, I’d just be more comfortable with them on. Throw him in quaddies anyway.
Gibbo’s 2020 Magic Millions preview:
Beautiful weather. The tracks as good as it’s ever been last week and expecting more of the same. A fantastic day of racing and there looks to be a few good bets on the card. Barriers have thrown a spanner in the works for some races but that’s what we are here for, to work out what it means and find the winners!
*Last week was tough for punters but hopefully a few punters followed us into GUARD OF HONOUR $6 and took the days ‘best roughie’ in YAMAZAKI at $14 in the last to help out.
Always a good way to start the day. I’ll be backing SIR ROCKET and making AEECEE BEAU a winning result also. SIR ROCKET has only had the one run to date and his effort was very good behind a horse who then went on to win another two and finished 2nd in a Group race. His trial here leading into this was brilliant and he draws gate 1. AEECEE BEAU was narrowly beaten in two hot maiden races. Recent trials have been very good and from gate 4 he lands in the first four settling without spending a penny. Waller has HULK and TAWARET, both above average and well placed in a maiden like this. LET IT POUR is the class runner but she has drawn the carpark, will need luck but hard to say she can’t win.
On Top: 5-SIR ROCKET $5 ++ 2-AEECEE BEAU $4
Next Best: 3-HULK, 9-TAWARET
Looks the ideal race for RECKLESS CHOICE. 1800m around the GC, 54kg and he is in form. The races haven’t really worked out for him his last couple and I’d like Boris to be a little more positive here and not lose sight of the bunny. Clark on DIAMONDS AND RUST will kid with them and try to steal a break, you can’t be flat footed when that occurs. RECKLESS CHOICE is always strong late and with the right ride the $6 looks a good price. (Price into $3 after scratchings) OVER EXPOSURE looked the main danger but they have decided to go to the 1400m race later in the day. You can go as wide as you like in trifecta’s and it’s a very even bunch away from the fav.
On Top: 6-RECKLESS CHOICE $3
Next Best: 5-ETANA
Interesting to see how they run this. KUBIS drops in weight, he will lead while FUN FACT might choose to sit outside lead this week. Do they go slow for as long as they can or do they wind it up and turn it into a staying affair to take some sprint out of the legs of THE CANDY MAN? I’ve put THE CANDY MAN on top, just not super keen to take the short quote. He’s been in work for a long time and a little question over the 2400m. He is the class runner. A MAN TO MATCH and FUN FACT come out of the Wave last week where they both ran extremely well. They both have upside and both are in very good form. KUBIS and BLACK ON GOLD might be the best of the rest.
On Top: 1-THE CANDY MAN
Next Best: 6-FUN FACT, 5-A MAN TO MATCH
Hot tempo in this, they will go like last weeks wages! I’ve wanted to be with CHAMPAGNE CUDDLES in the lead up to this but the gates are a little concern. ISAURIAN was exceptional in running 1:08:67 fresh to win a good listed race. Draws to get a good run and the only little query is that his fresh record is a lot better than his 2nd up record. CHAMPAGNE CUDDLES is a genuine group mare who has just lacked the killer punch late in her races at that level. Back to restricted racing and she just needs a good ride from the gate to blow them away late. Hoping Nash just rides quiet and he’d be a chance to follow ISAURIAN into the race. SCALLOPINI is one of my favourite horses. He can win for sure, can’t help but think the 1400m would have been a better race for him and I’d have probably gone there. He will sprout wings late here and be in the finish. MADAME ROUGE just needs some luck or a good steer from the inside gate to be a factor. A heap of other chances in a very good race.
On Top: 5 – CHAMPAGNE CUDDLES $4.50
Next Best: 4-ISAURIAN, 10-SCALLOPINI, 8-MADAME ROUGE
Can make a case for half the field and this is wide open. Not a great deal of speed so IRITHEA will lead them for a long way. YAMAZAKI was incredible last week, her L200m was 0.40 (or 2.5L) quicker than any other horse on the day. This race doesn’t have a lot of tempo so Boss will have to try and land midfield and then has the task of finding a run in the straight. With even luck she can win. LA TIGRESSA and MISTEED have finished next to each other their past two. Not much between them again here but with Nash taking the ride on LA TIGRESSA she just gets the nod over MISTEED for mine. INVINCIBELLA has won this race the last two years, she is the best horse in the race and I’d have her on top if she’d drawn a gate. INTO THE ABYSS comes off a win, as does TAHITIAN DANCER. Both are live hopes in a very even race.
On Top: 10-YAMAZAKI $9
Next Best: 16-LA TIGRESSA, 17-MISTEED, 2-IRITHEA, 1-INVINCIBELLA
I’ve got ALLIGATOR BLOOD landing 4-5th one off the fence and the fact is he should be too good for these. Personally, I’ll be playing some exotics as the $1.70 is too short for me. His 2nd in the Caulfield Guineas is clearly the best form of any of these. IT’S KIND OF MAGIC was excellent at the Valley last start. She can sit behind the leader and she will be the one hitting the front at the 300m. I expect her to run a really good race at $3 the place. LEVIATHAN, SUPERIUM, HIGHTAIL and EXHILARATES all get good runs and can run into first 4’s. EXILARATES was good fresh running the best L600-400m of the race, just got to a hopeless spot. Winkers go on here and she is a class runner. HIGHTAIL seems big odds at $18, he’s been very good this prep, ran well behind DIAMOND THUNDER before winning the Gosford Guineas beating EXILARATES. Should land midfield and be strong late DIAMOND THUNDER and PROFIT are very good horses who have drawn bad gates and will need a lot of luck. DIAMOND THUNDER gets the blinkers and they might really switch him on.
On Top: 2-ALLIGATOR BLOOD
Next Best: 5-EXHILIRATES, 3-HIGHTAIL, 15-IT’S KIND OF MAGIC, 6-SUPERIUM
Race 7: THE MAGIC MILLION CLASSIC:
One of the best editions I can remember. The Snowden’s have a major hand with four genuine chances. AIM is the fav and he is one horse who could blow these away. Both wins have been excellent, the issue is getting splits when needed. He will be stuck on the fence and Berry will have to extricate at the right time. STELLAR PAULINE has finished 2nd to AIM and EVERY ROSE at her two career runs but all reports say she is flying and the hot tempo will allow her to finish hard down the outside, she looks the best roughie in the race at $18. KING’S LEGACY won the best lead up race and he gets the winkers to keep him sharp. No doubt he ends up a miler in time but this stable will have him cherry ripe for this. NITROUS is the outsider of the Snowden team but his last win was better than it looks and he’s also a chance at odds. I have FARNAN on top, he’s a ripping colt who has been dominant at both career runs. He has good speed, he relaxes when he’s asked and he has a turn of foot. From the gate he gets the run of the race and I’d be surprised if he doesn’t start shorter than the $7 on offer. If they’d left the blinkers on from the gallop last week I’d have nearly made him a special.
On Top: 2-FARNAN $7
Hardest To Beat: 1-KING’S LEGACY, 15-STELLAR PAULINE, 5-AIM
Thought this was a great race for SCALLOPINI but he runs earlier in the day and makes this race probably the hardest race on the card. CRACK ME UP $9 is a genuinely good horse but he has the good horses weight (60kg). From gate 9 he should be able to land midfield or just worse and I expect him to come with a booming finish. Fresh run was good, recent trial good and he improves sharply 2nd up. VEGA ONE has hit his straps for Gollan and the last start win to get into this race was about a career best. Trialled well for this and with avg luck he’s the horse to beat. DEEP IMAGE is yet another Queenslander with a leading chance. He’s a new horse since changing stables and just keeps winning. He should push forward and overcome the bad gate pretty easily. OVER EXPOSURE and SHOGUN SUN both huge odds and they can be given thoughts in exotics from good gates. USAIN BOWLER is a very good horse on his day but he mixes his form horribly.
On Top: 1-CRACK ME UP $9.50
Next Best: 6-VEGA ONE, 3-DEEP IMAGE, 14-SHOGUN SUN $34
This looks like a great betting affair to finish the day, punters will zero in on CHAPTER AND VERSE, OUTBACK BARBIE and BOOMSARA. All are very good horses and are the obvious chances. OUTBACK BARBIE is a group quality mare who’s best just wins this. The issue is she’s let punters down on a few occasions and a lot have now given up on her. CHAPTER AND VERSE is as honest as they come, he will be midfield and sure to let down with a good turn of foot. He won this race last year and is going better this year. The little query is he has to lump the 58kg which he hasn’t carried in a long time. BOOMSARA is a horse I have trouble catching but on his day can absorb pressure and has run a few great races in his time (including this day last year). Best of the roughies and a live chance is RIVER RACER around $18. She has gradually built into her prep this time in and the runs have been better than they read on paper. Nash takes the ride and if she can find the back of OUTBACK BARBIE in the run she can be the fly in the ointment for the favs.
On Top: 4-OUTBACK BARBIE $5 ++ 5-RIVER RACER $18
Next Best: 3-CHAPTER AND VERSE, 2-BOOMSARA
Race 2 No.6–RECKLESS CHOICE $3.30
Best each way:
Race 7 No.2-FARNAN $6
Race 8 No.1-CRACK ME UP $9.50/$3.10
EARLY QUADDIE (races 2-5)
6 — 1,5,6 —- 4,5,8,10,13 —– 1,2,8,10,16,17
QUADDIE (races 6-9)
2 —- 1,2,5,7,15 —– 1,3,6,10,13,14 —– 2,3,4,5
THE WAVE raceday- AQUIS PARK January 2020:
Rail- TRUE; Weather-FINE
This is going to be a fantastic raceday, could be one of the better meetings held in qld over the past 12 months. Very competitive fields, good quality all day long and big fields also.
Hot tempo here, speed inside and out. CZARSON and LE PALMIER quality horses who will push forward from wide gates, just how much petrol they spend is the question. For that reason I’m with the locally trained filly TAKE TEA. She has built a very good record and she is nowhere near the finished product. She has a habit of running around in her races and still good enough to win. Booking of Boss is key and she will be very strong late off this tempo. LONGBOTTOM draws beautifully to get the run of the race and should be right on the leaders backs.
On Top: 4-TAKE TEA
Next Best: 1-CZARSON, 6-LONGBOTTOM, 2-LE PALMIER
EPIC GIRL is airborne. She beat up a good field two runs ago, was then up on a hot speed (5.6L fastest than benchmark to the 600m) last start and clearly the best of the leaders. If she runs up to that she will be winning this. Should land outside leader and will be first to challenge DREAM MASTER who should give a good kick on a track he enjoys. A LOT LIKE HOME $14 has drawn awkwardly but was good fresh and hasn’t missed a place 2nd up from four attempts. Should strip fitter and with even luck in running could be the value runner.
On Top: 7-EPIC GIRL $2.40
Next Best: 4-A LOT LIKE HOME ($14), 2-DREAM MASTER, 10-SHOGUN SUN
SMART ‘N’ SEXY might be one of the best on the day. Liked the trial before a debut run where not a lot went right (still best L400m of the race). She missed the start, got a check in the straight and probably didn’t help herself by doing a few things wrong. She should improve lengths off that run, she draws a good gate and just has to jump better to take care of these. If there is a fly in the ointment it might be MISS RHAPSODY, in a smart stable, has some breeding and unseen at trials. Watch the market with her.
On Top: 5-SMART ‘N’ SEXY $3
This is far more even than the fillies race. I’m going a bit against the market here, sometimes you just have to believe your eyes and although it was only a Murwillumbah win, I loved what I witnessed with VERBAL ASSAULT. He’s a nice colt and he’s improved every trial/race. Bad gate but he might have the speed to cross most of these and land in the first 4 and $8 looks a fair price. ANDERS was good late in a similar race to this last start, can again be competitive. CONCEITED won on debut, always have to respect these Godolphin horses heading north this time of year. WISDOM OF WATER is the horse everyone is talking about off trials. He has obvious ability, just has to be taken a bit on trust here.
On Top: 4-VERBAL ASSAULT $8
Next Best: 5-ANDERS, 1-CONCEITED, 11-WISDOM OF WATER
About the hardest race on the card. THE PINES looks the obvious and just needs some luck from the gate. They should string out with good speed engaged and that should allow her to find cover. She has won five of six and has the home track advantage. If the fav doesn’t have any luck CLOCKWISE could be the one who gets the right run from the good gate and looks to be placed well. Both her runs back have been good enough to win this and her late splits were excellent at Eagle Farm.
On Top: 5-THE PINES $3
Next Best: 12-CLOCKWISE $8
Speed on speed here. ARCHER’S PARADOX and BOOM CHICKA BOOM are probably the two fastest out of the gates and they will look to hold the fav SPURCRAFT 3 wide the trip. If SPURCRAFT can happen to cross one of them he is the class runner and has to be respected. He might just be good enough to sit three wide and win, it’s far from ideal though. GUARD OF HONOUR joins the Schweida camp and has trialled nicely leading into this. He probably hasn’t lived up to the early hype on him, however this race sets up perfectly for him to get the soft run and last shot at the leaders.
On Top: 4-GUARD OF HONOUR $6.50
Next Best: 1-SPURCRAFT, 7-BOOM CHICKA BOOM
THE WAVE has arrived! A very even race with a heap of chances. There should be an even tempo with FUN FACT running them along and all should get their chance.
DAWSON DIVA is incredibly hard to catch but her best is very good. The gate means she will spot them a start which isn’t ideal. CELLARMAID also has no gate speed, she is going to be a very good mare next year, this may have all come a bit soon. In saying that I lover the fact she is now at 1800m on this track. If she won it wouldn’t be a surprise. I’ve put ETANA and MATOWI on top without great confidence. ETANA is not at her top but this stable will have her cherry ripe for this and timed to the minute. Forget she went around two back, last start she had 59kg against the boys and she maps to get the run of the race here. MATOWI’s form from his last two will measure up well. He should land midfield, he’s run well on the backup before and expect him to launch late. A MAN TO MATCH has any amount of ability, he just doesn’t produce it when I tip him and vice versa.
On Top: 1-MATOWI $9 and 10-ETANA $6
Next best: 14-CELLARMAID, 9-DAWSON DIVA, 5-A MAN TO MATCH
Some sort of race this! MAGIC FOX (opened $21 TAB) has come back this prep with two brilliant runs. Both start he’s run the best L400m and 200m of the race. His L200m was the 4th best of a hot meeting last time out. He should land in front of 5-6 here with cover and he will flash late again. MORRISSY ($4.40) is the horse who can box seat and he has plenty of talent. 1300m should be ideal this part of his prep, good booking in Zahra and he looks the horse to beat. EDISON and SNOWZONE are both in good form, both draw gates and both will land in the first few pairs. MANDELLA will get back, placed out of his grade here but he has plenty of ability if he puts it all together. He was every bit as good as MAGIC FOX last start and actually meets him 3kg better at the weights.
On Top: 2-MORRISSY $4.40
Next best: 5-MAGIC FOX, 15-MANDELA, 14-SNOWZONE, 12-EDISON
Very good race to finish the day. GRAND SCHOLAR has been sensational this prep winning three in a row. She has drawn the carpark here and it’s her first go clockwise. Not easy to overcome by any means but she has the speed to lead or sit outside lead. She is the one who could blow them away or you could have your heart in your mouth at the 100m. MALAHIDE was excellent fresh last start, she got a great Fradd ride and put them to the sword quickly in the straight. CHURNING was good in the same race and meets MALAHIDE 1.5kg better off. More importantly she might find the back of MALAHIDE here and look for a tow into the race. Would have been keen to back YAMAZAKI ($13) from a gate here, unfortunately she has drawn the outside gate. She will have to go back and also try to make her run on the back of MALAHIDE and just hope there is enough speed in the race.
On Top: 15-GRAND SCHOLAR
Next Best: 11-YAMAZAKI ($13), 1-MALAHIDE, 9-CHURNING
GIBBOS BEST BETS:
Race 2 No.7-EPIC GIRL $2.40
Race 3 No.5- SMART ‘N’ SEXY $3
Race 8 No.2- MORRISSY $4.40
Best roughie: Race 9 No.11- YAMAZAKI $13
Aquis Beaudesert Friday 27 December 2019
Race 5 No.1-ZIGALLENE
Price might be the only issue, no idea what price they go up this horse. I’ve always liked her and I’m sure she goes on to better races. She has run ok here but I’d much rather be on a bigger track. Class probably just gets her home with even luck.
Race 6 No.1-SPANISH HURRICANE
Got the job done for us here last start and rock hard fit now. Should land in the first 4-5 and gets every possible chance. Fradd/Dunn combo looks enticing if $3.50 is bet.
Race 7 No.9-GOODONYA SONJA
Don’t think this horse has been placed well at all this prep and they have probably missed a couple of opportunities to win. They have found the perfect race from a perfect gate and if she hasn’t trained off she is the horse they have to beat.
Saturday 21 December 2019
Race 3 No.3 – PEPPI LA FEW
I always thought this horse was a myth but changed his form around last prep winning a couple of races. His first trial this time was fair but improved 2nd up and with blinkers should be right around the money.
Race 8 No.9 – VERNAZZA
They have opted for Apprentice Emily Atkinson to ride and I feel that’s a good sign, they aren’t over thinking it. Jumps from a good gate, take the claim with Emily and lead or sit on leaders back and she should just keep running over this trip. Looks the perfect race.
Race 9 No.7-SOJOURNIST
Liked L’amante and it got the job done at a silly price in maiden grade last start. She might come out and beat them again, I just feel they will over do it and she’ll start under the odds. SOJOURNIST has been racing well in better grade and looks well placed. Good jock, good gate, good chance.
Saturday 14th December, 2019
Another tough meeting, really looking forward to the big days for THE WAVE and The MAGIC MILLIONS on the 4th and 11th of January.
No great confidence this week, don’t want to make good things. I’ll just go over a few more races and horses that can run well. It’s been incredibly frustrating the number of horses I’ve tipped at $3 that have started odds on. Trying to avoid that this week and look for more value. Very hard to know as the markets go up so late.
Race 1 No.8-SHE’S WINNIE BLUE
I always rather horses with race experience like SOMEBODY’S GIRL, just feel SHE’S WINNIE BLUE trialled well leading into this and from the good gate might just be able to tuck in behind the leaders and with some luck in running might be able to get them down the last 50m.
Roughie- Race 2 No.10- ZAMOSA
I’ll be wanting around the $15 about this horse but that would be around enough to tempt me. There are two Waller horses and a Lees horse that should dominate the market. ZAMOSA was back too far in a walking race last start on a track you want to be forward on. Will need a very good ride from the gate but with luck can she be strong late and some hope.
Race 3 No.5-MOMENTUM TO WIN
Here’s one for the thrill seekers! I might tip one or two non-winners a year and this horse is 22 runs without a win (insert hands over face emoji). This is the best chance he will get. Although he doesn’t win, he does always try and with 54.5kg on his home track he gets his chance.
Race 5 No.5- VIOLET
A very good 3yr old race. DYNAMIC VERSE is also entered in Brisbane so that will make a big difference on the market here. Very hard to beat if he runs here. VIOLET was very consistent last prep without winning. Returned in a Toowoomba maiden and did what you’d expect beating an avg lot. Gets a nice run and should get last shot at the leaders. Should be getting around the $5 in a race like this.
Race 6 no.4- TATCEE
If she is black figures ($2+) I could back her. Not taking odds on but she’s a better horse than these. With some of the prices lately I very much doubt she will be backable!
Saturday 7 December 2019
That time of year we need to be paying for Christmas presents right? I’ll be doing my best to help. We did get 2/2 at Beaudesert midweek but you needed the early prices as Ramtastic was $2.30 into $1.35, crazy starting price!
This weekend doesn’t look the easiest day on the punt but have found a few that interest throughout the day.
Race 3 No.3 – DISCOMBE
A well bred type who has run well in the NSW provincials without winning. The query is travelling up here, hot weather, fresh and 1400m. The positives are he’s a better horse than these with more upside and maps to get an easy lead. I’d want about $3+ here and worth watching markets to see the confidence.
Race 6 No.9 – L’AMANTE
Showed glimpses last prep and not a lot went right when trapped wide a couple of times. Trial leading into this was good and feel they can be positive out of the gates and should be able to find a good spot, possibly box seat. Should win a few races this prep.
Race 8 No.4 – AURORA CHARM
Only had the one run for the Gollan camp and it was a solid run behind the promising Stylish Saga, big gap back to 3rd always a good sign. Race has good speed and he should be up there contesting the lead. From the good gate should be able to hold the fence or box seat if something wants to go silly up front. Like that pattern and although this is a handy race he should measure up. Anything around the $4 is about fair.
Aquis Beaudesert 4 December 2019
Track should be around the GOOD 3 range and playing pretty quick. Always a bonus to be up on speed at the tight turning track. Good day midweek last week and a poor Saturday so looking for some consistency. Just very hard to get a guide on these races in Queensland with our prices often the last to go up Australia wide.
Race 3 No.1 – RAMTASTIC
Always thought he’d go through the grades a little quicker. He has won or placed in 6 of 8 so still has a good overall record. DRAM OF DELAGO should lead and might take some catching, just feel this guy can get the upper hand late. I want $2.50+ and I could have a flutter.
Race 5 No.2 – SPANISH HURRICANE
He is a horse who takes a few runs to come to hand, that’s the little query, does he need one more? Was asked to do work and over raced last start, he should derive great benefit from that run and like the fact Fradd takes the ride here as the horse does race best for him. Opening price of $2.30 is too short. Should be $3.50+
Saturday 30 November 2019
RAIL: +8m 1400m-400m; Cutaway +6m 400m-W/Post; +3m Remainder
This looks one of the hardest days I can remember at Aquis Park for a while, there are likely to be many odds on favs so trying to avoid those races where possible.
Race 4 No.2 – QUEEN OF EMERALDS
Not a lot between this horse and the topweight but sticking with Allen & Anderson after they got the job done for us in the best bets last week. Although this mare looks a little limited she looks well placed here, she can find a spot in the first 4 settling and she won’t get a better chance to break her maiden status. She’s on top without great confidence.
Race 5 No.1 – FIREBOX
Had it’s chance last start and found a couple better. The positive was a huge gap back to the 4th horse. Was very good the start before that when attacking the line late. Needs luck from the gate, hoping he gets a track into the race and gets to the outside. PICTON is in our blackbook and looks hardest to beat.
Race 8 No.3 – BRANDO
He’s a bit of a one paced conveyance but his last two have been a great pointer for this. TOP ME UP AGAIN should be the main danger here and their chance with BRANDO is to make it a staying contest. There is other speed here so if they cross him you want BRANDO to still be positive and if need be go for home before the corner as it will take the sprint out of a few but this horse will stay on well as we witnessed last start.
Race 5 – PICTON
Wednesday 25 November 2019
RAIL: 7.5m 1400-400; 6m 400-W/Post; 4m Remainder.
Track has been racing well. Should start a Good 4, an upgrade wouldn’t surprise with hot, dry and windy weather predicted.
The start of the day looks very hard with a lot of horses on debut so I’m looking at the 2nd half of the card to try and nail a few best bets.
Race 5 No.7 – BARODA $2.30
Only had the one career run to date, was posted 4 wide the trip there, impossible task but stuck on ok. Had a few trials into this, all have been ok and after drawing well she looks like she can break the maiden status in this. RED HANA might be the hardest to beat and if they put up a decent price I could play a quinella with the two of them also.
Race 6 No.3 – AMORITA $5
Out to this trip for the first time and feel it should suit her. Petrified of BUFFY getting a nice run behind the speed, just hoping there is enough speed on for AMORITA to be the strongest late. Her fresh run was a pass mark and she should improve off that run.
Race 9 No.4- IN HIS STRIDE e/w $11
Not sure I’ve ever tipped a horse with 64 starts under their belt and he has a task against in form horses like TARBERT. I just feel TARBERT may be smashed in the market and start a crazy price. IN HIS STRIDE has been very good this prep without winning. This is a little easier for him, gets a good claim, might be able to sit midfield from the gate and feel he can make his presence felt late in proceedings at a decent price.
Saturday 23 November 2019
A good week last week with a couple of winners and looking to cash in again this week, hopefully some better prices as all three were very well supported last week. I have tried to put in a price guide as to what I think their prices should be.
RAIL: 7.5m 1400m-400m; 6m 400m-W/Post; 4m Remainder.
Race 4 No.8- FLATTER
Simply have to tip this filly. She made our blackbook section, the sectional stars page and she’s found the right race. Out to 1300m suits, she ran the fastest last 200m of the meeting on debut and I love backing horses at their 2nd career run. Should get around $3+ in the big field and anything over that would be a bet for me. The only query is traffic in the big field, Anthony Allen is on board and I think he’ll take that out of the equation.
Race 5 No.2- EQUIPPED
Very even sort of race. Have put EQUIPPED on top because I simply feel he comes out of the better form races compared to most of these. No luck at all two runs back and the run was ok. Last start loomed but maybe the tempo was against. Decent gate, hope they sit midfield and again like the booking of A Allen to steer. In a race like this I’d be wanting $6+ to be getting involved.
Race 8 No.5- SAYS WHO
Can see ROTHENBURG being smashed in the market here, he comes out of clearly the best form race and extremely hard to beat. Just feel SAYS WHO might be a bit of value. Only had the three runs and each run has showed some ability. Out to 1300m last start and broke maiden status. Now to 1400m suits, has a nice turn of foot and in form jockey Allan Chau takes the ride. Happy to bet if an each-way price is available . Might even have a sneaky quinella with ROTHENBURG depending on prices.
Racing at Aquis Park XXXX All Stars Raceday 16th November:
RAIL: +6m 1400 – W/Post; +3m Remainder
Great weather and a pretty good card of racing.
Race 3 No.7- IN GREAT NIC $5
Even sort of race and hard to make a best bet in. Just feel this really sets up well for her. She led, kicked to lead by 4L and held on late to win two runs back. Up in grade to a hot Saturday race and was wide the trip at EF. Drop in grade and finally gets a gate to box seat behind the leaders, that’s the big positive in a race with a bit of tempo.
Race 4 No.7- BORN BAD $2.25
We made this horse the best of the day a fortnight ago but they scratched and went to Brisbane. He ran very well in a much harder race and the run was strong after a very poorly timed ride. Took off early and circled from the 800m. It was a fast run race, he was 3 wide and ran the best 800-600m split of the race, there was no way he was going to have a horse left in the finish. Can make amends in this.
Race 7 No.4-SUKWHINDER $2.25
There’s a chance this simply starts too short. Anything $2+ would be enough for me, otherwise happy to watch on. She is an above avg filly who has a win over Neidorp in town. She was excellent fresh in a much harder race. She should be able to find a spot in the first few pairs and out to 1200m ideal. Hardest to best is Euro Belle who has to overcome the bad gate. Opened $2.25, not keen to take odds on but $2.25 ok.
Aquis Beaudesert Thursday 14 November 2019
*Tricky sort of day and expected to be very hot. Rail in True position and I’d expect the leaders to be able to run a bit of time so might be hard to catch.
*Reluctant to bet after unbelievably short odds offered for all 3 tips, but some for you to follow if interested.
Race 1 No.2 – HONOVI
Sticky sort of gate but has early speed, expecting them to be positive and lead out of the straight the first time. Once they are there Cormack can let one slip around or try to dictate from the front. HEATHROW looks the main danger but should be spotting HONOVI a decent start. Not taking any silly odds but could bet if $2.50+ was offered.
Race 2 No.1 – SPURIOUS
Missed the start hopelessly fresh before hitting the line very well in a decent maiden. Has been beaten a head in a metropolitan Saturday race and that form is outstanding for a race like this. Feel CRAIGLEA LIZZY will cross from the wide gate, SPURIOUS should be able to box seat and the leader will be the hardest to beat. Again I’d be wanting around $3+ to bet.
Race 4 No.7-SECRET CONQUEST
Another very even sort of race, just feel this horse can use the good gate to find a spot in the first few pairs. Although well held last start I really like the race (Dwarf won, Flatter 2nd). Was good through the line and this is simply an easier race. Like the fact Chau stays on too, would be chasing $6+.
Saturday 9 November 2019.
*A good week for the trial and blackbook horses to follow last week, unfortunately one of them actually beat our tip!
Race 1 No.9 – MALEEKA MISS
Trialed well leading into the debut run. Found one better on that occasion but the effort was good and should be better for the run. In a good stable and hard to beat here.
Race 4 No.8 – GALWAY GIRL
Beaten a long way into 2nd last start but the winner has won well again since. ALDERMAN is the horse who will lead and who she will have to run down. The gate can help here. Every chance of landing in the first few pairs and the blinkers first time are what I’m banking on turning her into a winner.
Race 5 No.8 -TYCOON STREET
Even sort of race, just feel she is ready to win. Gate’s a little sticky so she’ll need a good steer early from Day. They let the leader walk last start which was against her, even though she was very good through the line. Looks easiest race she has contested for a while and hoping they get her back in the winners stall.
Horses running that we have blackbooked or who made the sectionals report:
THE DARK- (Race 4)
PRINCESS ARRABELLA- (Race 6)
2 November 2019
Another good weekend last weekend with 2/3 best bets and both blackbook runners winning. Be sure to share this racing page with racing mates, the more the merrier
Race 3 No.2-HAUTCLERE
Joins the Edmonds camp off some decent form in Victoria. Has had two trials here, both very quiet trials and hasn’t been let go yet. They have found the perfect race to kick off in. I’d say they bounce on the bunny and hold the front. PAY WITH CASH might be the quinella horse.
Race 4 No.4- CURRUMBIN CRAFT
Not as confident here but this is a good race for this horse if fit enough. That’s my query, does he just need this run to bring him on. He ran well in better races last prep and just got back too far on a couple of occasions. They should be able to land in front of a couple here and if they have to ride patient that’s fine as he does have a good sprint. Yet to win on Good ground so any rain would be a bonus.
Race 8 No.1- GOODONYA SONJA
Also accepted Brisbane but hoping they run here. Comes out of better races than this in town and the drop in grade is what she’s after. From the wide gate they could roll forward and likely to land outside leader. Looks well placed if they choose to run here.
BLACKBOOK/SECTIONALS horses we have mentioned that run today:
Race 5: CHARWAY (Sectionals) + SIMPLY SACRED (trials section)
Race 3: PAY WISH CASH (blackbook 2 runs back)
26 October 2019
Rail Position: +1.5 metres 1000m-400m; True remainder
Very tricky days racing, fine weather predicted and an eight race program. A very even card but there should be some decent value throughout the day and we will do our best to find it.
Race 2 No.4 – OWN SWEET WAY
Looks a very slow run race, OWN SWEET WAY and IVY’S COURT look the main players. IVY’S COURT comes out of the better races but I like OWN SWEET WAY getting out to the 1800m of this race. Good jock on top in Ryan Plumb, just needs to be aggressive early and make sure he is leading, they will slow it down mid-race and this horse is far better when leading. This is a happy hunting ground for trainer Natalie McCall with 6 of her last 12 Gold Coast starters getting the cash.
Race 5 No.7 – GIVEMEAMINUTE
This horse made our blackbook a few weeks back after running the best last 400 and 200m of the day. Has run since and I didn’t like the ride on that occasion or the fact it was 1350m. Back to 1200m suits and should be able to roll forward and find the one out, one back spot. Not brimming with confidence here but having a small play e/w if the right odds are available.
Race 6 No.6-ARGYLE SOLITARE (Roughie)
Try to find a value runner where possible so thought I’d throw her in. It’s a race of many chances and she just looks one that wants this trip to me. She’s looked gone at the 200m her last couple and then run the 2nd best last 200m in both those races. I’d have loved a gear change to get rid of the flat spot but hopefully Kilner is positive, leads or sits close and goes for home early to make a race of it. No good thing but worth throwing in quaddies etc.
Race 8 No.1-BORN BAD
We got the cash in the last race last week and feel we can do the same here. BORN BAD is in the Meagher stable and has only had the one run in QLD. Got back at Ipswich, the race did set up for him to run home and he was very good running the 2nd best last 200m of the race. WHITTINGTON WAYS and LOVE STRUCK have both been in good form, just feel BORN BAD can improve from that fresh run and with some luck in running be very hard to hold out late.
I’ll finish with just mentioning horses who have made it into our review section recently that are racing Saturday.
GIVEMEAMINUTE (Race 5)
LOVE STRUCK (Race 8)
19 October 2019
Rail goes back to the TRUE for the first time since August 3rd. Fine weather and expecting the track to play very fair for all. It looks a very even days racing and quite a hard day to nail a few best bets.
Race 2 No.2-MAKEUP
Trained on the track, nice trial before a very good debut run at Doomben. A very slow run race there and they were set up to sprint home, but sprint home she did. She ran the 2nd best last 400m and last 200m of the meeting. She should improve from the raceday experience and just needs a bit of luck or a good ride from the sticky gate. They don’t want to be landing last in this. If she is midfield before the corner they will know she’s there late. BEAUREGARD who we tipped last time and POWERING having first start for Edmonds look the main dangers but happy enough to have MAKEUP on top.
Race 6 No.1-BANTEUX
Waller runner who has been sent north to break through again. He’s shown enough down south to say he could win one or two up here. He was a pass mark at Benchmark 64 level last start, that was at the mile 2nd up. Sure to improve off that and out to 1800m is ideal 3rd run back. His only win was 3rd up last prep over 1900m. Has to lump the big weight but Colless can probably land in the third pair here and be ready to strike when the pace goes on before the corner. With the weight I’d rather be rolling before the corner and have momentum instead of missing the boat. Feel around $3.50+ would be a fair sort of price. WILLY BE LUCKY looks the main danger but has only won 1/24 so easy to lean the way of the Waller runner.
Race 7 No.2-ELIXIR
To be honest I tried to find anyway around tipping this horse and to try and find some value. He is just in so well under the plate conditions it’s hard to go past him. The little query is the apprentice from the outside gate but I’m assuming they come out positive and sit outside leader or simply push on to find the lead and try to slow them down. Back to 1300m suits, the 2kg off suits and this is a big drop in grade from what he’s been racing well against at metropolitan level. Respecting GALWAY GIRL and CABIN FEVER who are also locals and winning hopes.
12 October 2019
RAIL: 6m 1400-1000; 9.5m 1000-400; 8m 400-W/Post; 4m Remainder
*Rail stays out, last week a few loomed very wide on the track and didn’t really finish off. Think jockeys may stay near the fence this week but with rain predicted it may well be worth watching the first few races to see where the jocks go.
With rain around and scratchings likely it’s a hard meeting to find too many, but here are a few I have found.
Race 4 No.2-AMERICAN GENIUS
Don’t want to be taking anything under $2.50 if it comes to that but he’s an on speed runner who should be able to lead these or sit outside leader. I’d prefer the latter, nurse him around the corner and let him be strong through the line. Good strong win last start beating Italia Bella.
Race 5 No.6-DASHING SPECIAL
Not a good habit backing horses with this win rate, however his two wins have come in his last five starts. Forget last start in better grade, this is much easier and the runs before that can measure up. Trialed well in blinkers in a hot trial including Victorem and Fierce Impact – blinkers on today. Not going overboard here, just a slight lean to him at the weights over the topweight.
Race 7 No.2-PAY WITH CASH
Have had time for this horse since his first start. A real improving type who I feel will win better races than this. He has a beautiful action and the big positive last start was that even though he jumped slow again, he pushed forward and raced handy. He loomed to win a good Class 1 and should strip fitter. The wide gate allows Dittman time to slide forward and find a spot. If Soxagon scratches, as I predict, this horse just needs to handle the wet track if we get the rain and he’ll win.
*Be sure to check out the reviews and sectional stars from the last couple of weeks on the ‘Gibbo’s tips’ page while you’re here*
Gibbo’s Gold Coast selections 5th October 2019.
The rail has been gradually pushed out over the last half a dozen meetings. It hasn’t affected the pattern as the track raced beautifully last week and tempo was the what determined the winners.
Rail +6m 1400-1000, +9m 1000-W/P, +4m Remainder
Weather- Fine and track should be a Good 4.
*Here is a look at what I feel could be some of the better bets on the card. The only issue we have is the fact the bookies can go up very late on Gold Coast races compared to interstate markets. There might not be this many tips each week, I just particularly like the card this week and there is the extra race with the 3yr old maiden being split into two races.
(Best Bets/Plays have ** next to them)
Race 2 No.10- SNIT BALL
Handy little race, no doubt DWARF is the horse to beat and has trialled well. Costa and Heathcote both have debutantes who will win races also. Even though SNIT BALL was $61 on debut the run was very good. Got back in a slow run race which made it impossible, still ran the 5th best L200m of the meeting. Awkward gate is the issue, I could consider a little bet (1w x3p)
Race 3 No.3-READY TO PARTY * *
Have to admit I have a share in this boy. He’s always shown plenty at home but not much has gone right the last 12 months. Just seemed for one reason or another he’s been in the paddock. Feel he is a better horse than these and that he’ll be winning better races. My only little query is the 1200m fresh off the long break so needs a good ride from Dittman and to be nursed for as long as possible.
Race 4 No.7-BEAUREGARD * *
Trained locally by Heinrich this son of Brazen Beau showed good quality in a trial before making his debut on a bottomless track. He ran 4th there and although beaten a long way the run was full of merit and the form is good (Gem Of Scotland won that race). Comes here off a long break, 1100m should be suitable fresh. Sits on the leaders backs and should be too good.
Race 5 No.4- MISS AMBER (ew if $5+ available)
She raced well last prep but kicked this prep off with a couple of shockers. Blinkers went on and she improved sharply. Dittman can come out neutral here to find a spot in the first few pairs. Expecting her to sprint as she did last start and then try to hold off the late challenge of MISS CAVALLO who looks the main danger. Depending on prices I could even back MISS AMBER straight and cover my stake with a win bet on MISS CAVALLO.
Race 6 No.1-GREGORY * *
Yet another one I’m tipping for Dittman here! He’s never been a horse I’m that keen on, however he is in career best form this prep and looks really well placed. He won a CL4 two runs back before a good run at CL6 level. The drop back to this benchmark looks ideal and he has to be the one to beat.
Gibbo will be reviewing each weeks racing with blackbookers and sectional stars from Aquis Park racing. Be sure to check in each week for you excusive content to help you find your weekend winners!